Match Info

AFRICA: World Championship - Qualification - Round 6

Date: 25 March 2025, Tuesday

Location: Nelson Mandela National Stadium (Kampala)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, New World Sport 2, SuperSport GOtv Football
Guinea	RTG
South-africa	SuperSport Variety 3
Uganda	FUFA TV
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
World	FIFA+


	Uganda		Guinea

	1	X	2
	3.6	2.87	2.37	Watch
	3.2	2.95	2.35	Watch
	3.4	2.85	2.35	Watch
	3.43	2.9	2.33	Watch
	2.9	2.9	2.6	Watch
	3.44	2.97	2.35	Watch
	3.4	2.85	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.34 ↑ (2.95)	2.9 ↓ (2.96)	2.39 ↓ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Uganda
28.2%

Draw
32.4%

Guinea
39.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.7%

31.6%

36.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Uganda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Guinea has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
8.3%	66.7%	25%

Uganda - Guinea Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Uganda will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). Guinea will win (votes: 3 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 40% – 93.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Alionzi N. (G) Mechal SC 2. Bwomono E. St. Mirren 5. Mugabi B. Anorthosis 13. Capradossi E. (C) Cittadella 23. Kayondo A. Liberec 4. Semakula K. Club Africain 10. Mutyaba T. Bordeaux 16. Ssekiganda R. Villa 21. Okello A. Vipers 17. Shaban M. Al-Anwar 7. Mato R. Vardar	1. Sylla S. (G) Reims 17. Sylla D. Dender 13. Camara M. Young Boys 5. Diakhaby M. Valencia 3. Sylla I. (C) Montpellier 7. Camara M. PAOK 23. Toure A. Le Havre 10. Balde A. Lausanne 15. Cisse S. Leganes 18. Camara A. Ludogorets 9. Guirassy S. Dortmund
Substitutes
3. Awany T. D. SC Ashdod 11. Kabuye C. Mjallby 14. Kakande P. Villa 8. Kiwanuka H. APR 9. Mukwala S. Simba 20. Muleme I. Zizkov 18. Mutakubwa J. (G) BUL 15. Sibbick T. Wigan 6. Ssebagala E. NEC FC 22. Ssemugabi J. Kitara 12. Torach R. Vipers 19. Watenga I. (G) Golden Arrows	8. Bah A. APOEL 16. Camara M. (G) Simba 6. Conde C. Venezia 2. Conte A. Igdir FK 4. Conte I. FC UTA Arad 11. Diaby Y. Grenoble 12. Diakite I. Cercle Brugge 20. Diawara K. Pau 19. Kamano F. Damac 22. Keita M. (G) 14. Sylla M. Arouca 21. Sylla S. Den Haag
Coaches
Put P.	Dussuyer M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
34', Camara M. 🟨,
36', 1 - 0, Okello A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Camara M. ↓, Conde C. ↑,
46', Sylla D. ↓, Diakite I. ↑,
46', Bwomono E. ↓, Awany T. D. ↑,
60', Shaban M. ↓, Kabuye C. ↑,
75', Sylla I. ↓, Sylla S. ↑,
75', Camara A. ↓, Diaby Y. ↑,
86', Kayondo A. 🟨,
87', Mutyaba T. ↓, Ssemugabi J. ↑,
90+5', Mato R. ↓, Kiwanuka H. ↑,

Preview

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Uganda won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3:4 (average 1:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Uganda
FIFA World Cup
20.03.25	Mozambique - Uganda	3:1 ✺
African Nations Championship
29.12.24	Uganda - Burundi	1:0 ✺
26.12.24	Burundi - Uganda	0:1 ✺
Africa Cup of Nations
19.11.24	Congo - Uganda	0:1 ✺
15.11.24	Uganda - South Africa	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LWWWL
- Guinea
FIFA World Cup
21.03.25	Guinea - Somalia	0:0 ✺
Friendly
15.12.24	Ivory Coast - Guinea	4:1 ✺
Africa Cup of Nations
19.11.24	Tanzania - Guinea	1:0 ✺
16.11.24	Guinea - D.R. Congo	1:0 ✺
15.10.24	Ethiopia - Guinea	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 TLLWW

Latest Head to Head

FIFA World Cup
17.11.23	Guinea - Uganda	2:1
Africa Cup of Nations
19.11.14	Guinea - Uganda	2:0
10.09.14	Uganda - Guinea	2:0

Uganda - Guinea: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide