Match Info

AFRICA: World Championship - Qualification - Round 5

Date: 20 March 2025, Thursday

Location: Estádio do Zimpeto (Maputo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Sportklub 1, SportKlub
Croatia	SportKlub 1
Germany	Sportdigital FUSSBALL
India	FanCode, FanCode
Montenegro	SportKlub 1, SportKlub
Mozambique	TVM 1
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO, SportKlub 1, SportKlub 2
Portugal	Sport TV1
Serbia	SportKlub 1
Slovenia	SportKlub 1
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Uganda	FUFA TV, Sanyuka TV
World	FIFA+


	Mozambique		Uganda

	1	X	2
	2.88	2.8	2.8	Watch
	2.75	2.95	2.7	Watch
	2.95	2.65	2.8	Watch
	2.56	2.95	3.04
	2.95	2.74	2.77	Watch
	2.9	2.8	2.7	Watch
	2.8	2.9	2.8	Watch
	2.95	2.65	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.84 ↑ (2.2)	2.81 ↓ (3)	2.8 ↓ (3.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mozambique
33%

Draw
33.5%

Uganda
33.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.3%

31%

26.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mozambique has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mozambique's form might have worsened.

Uganda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Uganda's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
23.1%	38.5%	38.5%

Mozambique - Uganda Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Mozambique will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). Uganda will win (votes: 5 - 38.5%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 38.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Uganda: 12% – 65%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ernan (G) Associacao Black Bulls 16. Amade A. Septemvri Sofia 20. Catamo G. Sporting Lisbon 4. Chambuco F. 18. Gildo Ittihad Jerash 21. Guima Zira FK 5. Langa B. Almeria 17. Mandava R. (C) Atl. Madrid 2. Nanani UD Songo 11. Pepo Caldas SC 13. Ratifo S. Chemie Leipzig	19. Watenga I. (G) Golden Arrows 8. Aucho K. (C) Young Africans 2. Bwomono E. St. Mirren 13. Capradossi E. Cittadella 23. Kayondo A. Liberec 5. Mugabi B. Anorthosis 21. Okello A. Vipers 14. Omedi D. Kitara 4. Semakula K. Club Africain 17. Shaban M. Al-Anwar 22. Ssemugabi J. Kitara
Substitutes
15. Albino C. Textafrica 6. Amadu Tanzania Prisons 10. Bauque C. 7. Bonde J. Ferroviario Beira 8. Dove E. Kaizer Chiefs 9. Macamo E. Desportivo de Nacala 14. Macandza D. Costa do Sol 3. Nene Associacao Black Bulls 23. Shaquille Sagrada 22. Urrubal I. (G) 19. Witi Al Urooba 12. Zavala K. (G)	1. Alionzi N. (G) Mechal SC 3. Awany T. D. SC Ashdod 11. Kabuye C. Mjallby 7. Kiwanuka H. APR 12. Kizito G. Kampala City 9. Mukwala S. Simba 20. Muleme I. Zizkov 18. Mutakubwa J. (G) BUL 10. Mutyaba T. Bordeaux 15. Sibbick T. Wigan 6. Ssebagala E. NEC FC 16. Ssekiganda R. Villa
Coaches
Francisco Q. C. J.	Put P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 1)
3', 1 - 0, Pepo ⚽,
7', 1 - 1, Shaban M. ⚽, Okello A. (A),
16', 2 - 1, Pepo ⚽,
33', Omedi D. 🟨,
38', Omedi D. 🟨,
45+3', 3 - 1, Ratifo S. ⚽, Pepo (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Watenga I. ↓, Alionzi N. ↑,
61', Guima ↓, Nene ↑,
61', Gildo ↓, Witi ↑,
72', Langa B. ↓, Dove E. ↑,
72', Pepo ↓, Bauque C. ↑,
73', Bwomono E. ↓, Ssekiganda R. ↑,
73', Shaban M. ↓, Mukwala S. ↑,
80', Bauque C. 🟨,
87', Okello A. ↓, Kabuye C. ↑,
87', Ratifo S. ↓, Macamo E. ↑,
90+3', Nanani 🟨,

Preview

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mozambique
Africa Cup of Nations
19.11.24	Guinea Bissau - Mozambique	1:2 ✺
15.11.24	Mozambique - Mali	0:1 ✺
14.10.24	Eswatini - Mozambique	0:3 ✺
11.10.24	Mozambique - Eswatini	1:1 ✺
10.09.24	Mozambique - Guinea Bissau	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WLWTW
- Uganda
African Nations Championship
29.12.24	Uganda - Burundi	1:0 ✺
26.12.24	Burundi - Uganda	0:1 ✺
Africa Cup of Nations
19.11.24	Congo - Uganda	0:1 ✺
15.11.24	Uganda - South Africa	0:2 ✺
15.10.24	South Sudan - Uganda	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WWWLW

Mozambique - Uganda: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide