Match Info

3. MSFL - Round 26

Date: 3 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Orelsky stadion (Uhersky Brod)


	Uherský Brod		Fotbal Třinec

	1	X	2
	6.75	5.25	1.3
	5	4.3	1.5
	4.92	4.4	1.52
	5.02	4.47	1.5
	4.8	4.38	1.55
	5	4.4	1.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.25 ↓ (6.99)	4.53 ↓ (5.3)	1.48 ↑ (1.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Uherský Brod
17.5%

Draw
20.3%

Fotbal Třinec
62.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13.1%

17.3%

69.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.6%

16.6%

72.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Uherský Brod has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Fotbal Třinec has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Fotbal Třinec might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Uherský Brod than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fotbal Třinec than the current prediction. (+10.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fotbal Třinec could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Uherský Brod - Fotbal Třinec Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
73. Hodal R. (G) 17. Flasar M. (C) 15. Leskovjan M. 6. Lorenc M. 20. Mazuryk V. 5. Miklik M. 18. Pochyly M. 19. Popowicz K. 3. Pus D. 9. Sedlacek J. 8. Sklenar P.	1. Murin R. (G) 9. Bolf J. 13. Brak V. 26. Cienciala L. 25. Dedic R. (C) 5. Ivanovic S. 8. Krakovcik M. 24. Omasta T. 10. Samiec M. 15. Vlachovsky M. 12. Zinhasovic N.
Substitutes
21. Bulko S. 13. Cervenka P. 22. Huspenina T. 16. Nevaril L. 14. Novotny M. 24. Somberg J. (G) 2. Votava M.	22. Adamuska J. (G) 16. Agbo C. 27. Dadak L. 21. Machuca O. 18. Szewieczek M. 20. Trcek N. 19. Zajicek A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
17', 0 - 1, Dedic R. ⚽,
32', Mazuryk V. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Flasar M. ↓, Bulko S. ↑,
78', Samiec M. ↓, Machuca O. ↑,
83', Sklenar P. ↓, Huspenina T. ↑,
83', Leskovjan M. ↓, Novotny M. ↑,
87', Mazuryk V. ↓, Cervenka P. ↑,
88', Krakovcik M. 🟨,
88', Cervenka P. 🟨,
89', Bolf J. ↓, Szewieczek M. ↑,
89', Vlachovsky M. ↓, Trcek N. ↑,
90+1', Zinhasovic N. ↓, Trcek N. ↑,
90+4', 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 13 and 2).

Uherský Brod has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Třinec is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Uherský Brod may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Třinec is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Uherský Brod won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:13. (average 1.7:4.3).

Including home match between the teams, Uherský Brod won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ČSK Uherský Brod
Czech MSFL
30.04.25	Karviná B - Uherský Brod	4:2 ✺
26.04.25	Unie Hlubina - Uherský Brod	0:1 ✺
18.04.25	Uherský Brod - Hanácká Slavia Kroměříž	1:2 ✺
12.04.25	Strání - Uherský Brod	1:0 ✺
05.04.25	Uherský Brod - Uničov	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LWLLT
- Fotbal Třinec
Czech MSFL
30.04.25	Hodonín - Fotbal Třinec	0:4 ✺
26.04.25	Fotbal Třinec - Blansko	6:0 ✺
20.04.25	Zbrojovka Brno B - Fotbal Třinec	2:1 ✺
12.04.25	Fotbal Třinec - Zlín B	4:0 ✺
06.04.25	Karviná B - Fotbal Třinec	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Czech MSFL
28.09.24	Fotbal Třinec - Uherský Brod	2:1
01.06.24	Uherský Brod - Fotbal Třinec	3:3
28.10.23	Fotbal Třinec - Uherský Brod	8:1

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