Match Info

Premier League - Round 24

Date: 6 July 2025, Sunday


	Ulaanbaatar		Khovd

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.33	5	6.25
				Watch
	1.27	5.27	6.09
				Watch
	1.33	5.6	5.92
	1.53	4.85	4.19
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↓ (1.51)	5.18 ↑ (5)	5.61 ↑ (4.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ulaanbaatar
66.4%

Draw
17.5%

Khovd
16.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60%

18.1%

21.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.2%

19.1%

20.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ulaanbaatar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ulaanbaatar's performance.

Khovd has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Khovd might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ulaanbaatar than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Khovd than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Ulaanbaatar - Khovd Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Ulaanbaatar will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Khovd will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
26', 1 - 0, Batbold B. ⚽,
33', 2 - 0, Oyunbaatar M. ⚽,
45+1', 2 - 1, Watanabe Y. (Pen),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
66', 3 - 1, Muiddori ⚽,
80', 3 - 2, ⚽,
85', 3 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ulaanbaatar won 4.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Khovd may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Ulaanbaatar is considered a favorite.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Ulaanbaatar won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 35:9. (average 4.4:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Ulaanbaatar won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 23:6. (average 5.8:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Ulaanbaatar
Mongolian Premier League
02.07.25	Khaan Khuns-Erchim - Ulaanbaatar	0:3 ✺
28.06.25	Ulaanbaatar - Brera Ilch	0:0 ✺
23.06.25	Hunters - Ulaanbaatar	2:4 ✺
19.06.25	Khangarid - Ulaanbaatar	6:2 ✺
15.06.25	Ulaanbaatar - Falcons	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 WTWLL
- Khovd FC
Mongolian Premier League
01.07.25	Khovd - Falcons	1:5 ✺
22.06.25	Khovd - Khoromkhon	10:2 ✺
18.06.25	Central Stallions - Khovd	2:5 ✺
15.06.25	Khovd - Khangarid	2:5 ✺
11.06.25	Khaan Khuns-Erchim - Khovd	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.5 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Mongolian Premier League
17.04.25	Khovd - Ulaanbaatar	3:4
29.09.24	Ulaanbaatar - Khovd	3:3
13.04.24	Ulaanbaatar - Khovd	9:1
28.09.23	Khovd - Ulaanbaatar	0:2
16.05.23	Ulaanbaatar - Khovd	2:0
01.04.23	Khovd - Ulaanbaatar	0:2
21.05.22	Ulaanbaatar - Khovd	9:2

Ulaanbaatar - Khovd: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide