Match Info

Date: 21 September 2020, Monday


	Umeå		Degerfors

	1	X	2
	7.5	4.33	1.44	Watch
	7	4	1.4
	7.5	4.3	1.41	Watch
	6.6	4.3	1.41
	8.02	4.57	1.44
	7.5	4.33	1.42	Watch
	7.1	4.65	1.44	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.32 ↑ (6.37)	4.35 ↑ (4.09)	1.42 ↓ (1.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Umeå
12.8%

Draw
21.5%

Degerfors
65.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.6%

22.8%

62.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.5%

19.5%

73.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Umeå has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Degerfors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Umeå than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Degerfors than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Degerfors could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Umeå - Degerfors Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Limited number of spectators.

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 14 in the zone Superettan (Relegation) and 1 in the zone Promotion to Allsvenskan).

Recent matches Umeå is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Degerfors is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Degerfors could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Degerfors is indisputable favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Umeå won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Umeå won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Umeå FC
Swedish Division 2 - Norrland
19.09.20	Umeå - Notvikens	5:4 ✺
Swedish Superettan
16.09.20	Halmstad - Umeå	4:0 ✺
Swedish Division 2 - Norrland
12.09.20	Gottne - Umeå	1:0
Swedish Superettan
11.09.20	Dalkurd - Umeå	0:0 ✺
06.09.20	Umeå - Brage	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WLLTT
- Degerfors IF
Swedish Superettan
16.09.20	Degerfors - Dalkurd	2:1 ✺
12.09.20	Degerfors - Jönköpings Södra	4:2 ✺
07.09.20	Halmstad - Degerfors	1:4 ✺
29.08.20	Degerfors - Halmstad	0:2 ✺
24.08.20	Akropolis - Degerfors	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Superettan
07.07.20	Degerfors - Umeå	1:0
17.09.12	Umeå - Degerfors	3:0

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