Match Info

Division 1 - Norra - Round 5

Date: 3 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Umea Energi Arena (Umea)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	Ettan Play


	Umeå		Karlberg

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.25	3.4	2.55
	2.32	3.65	2.58
	2.41	3.8	2.56
	2.38	3.94	2.53	Watch
	2.3	3.4	2.5
	2.34	3.58	2.48	Watch
	1.95	3.5	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↑ (2)	3.61 ↓ (3.63)	2.63 ↓ (3.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Umeå
40%

Draw
25.3%

Karlberg
34.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.7%

25.2%

29.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Umeå has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Umeå's form might have worsened.

Karlberg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Karlberg's recent form is better than expected.

Umeå - Karlberg Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Eriksson P. (G) 4. Bangala D. 16. Bawa Z. 33. Essombe Mambingo J. 8. Godwin F. 9. Hadad R. 5. Hakansson N. 2. Linden N. 22. Lindgren T. 6. Lindmark S. (C) 11. Olawore E.	1. Gkoulios A. (G) 17. Aslund H. 7. Fernandez H. 19. Jemal A. 8. Negash N. 20. Othman R. 18. Rupia-Ellis A. (C) 12. Sequar A. 24. Sietsema L. 3. Steen V. 13. Sundgren R.
Substitutes
14. Cederblad E. 26. Ekman D. 17. Forsman S. 20. Hassan H. 35. Pihlblad L. (G) 27. Rhodin F. 12. Yeboah E.	35. Bojang E. (G) 5. Geiger N. 25. Hogberg F. 9. Jamshidi A. 11. Mitku M. 2. Nieminen Eriksson F. 16. Vainio N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
24', 1 - 0, Hadad R. ⚽,
28', Sequar A. ↓, Nieminen Eriksson F. ↑,
38', Godwin F. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
56', Aslund H. 🟨,
60', Aslund H. ↓, Geiger N. ↑,
60', Sietsema L. ↓, Mitku M. ↑,
73', 1 - 1, Jemal A. ⚽,
75', Hadad R. ↓, Cederblad E. ↑,
87', Lindgren T. ↓, Rhodin F. ↑,
89', 2 - 1, Bangala D. ⚽,
90+3', Bawa Z. 🟨,
90+5', Othman R. ↓, Jamshidi A. ↑,
90+5', Negash N. ↓, Vainio N. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 13 in the zone Division 1 ~ Relegation (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 5).

Karlberg is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Umeå won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 2.5:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Umeå won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Umea FC	25	9	5	11	34:41	-7	32
10	Karlbergs	25	9	5	11	33:41	-8	32

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Umeå FC
Swedish Division 1 Norra
26.04.26	Stockholm Internazionale - Umeå	3:0 ✺
19.04.26	Vasalund - Umeå	3:1 ✺
12.04.26	Umeå - Arlanda	0:1 ✺
06.04.26	Hammarby TFF - Umeå	1:2 ✺
Swedish Superettan
08.11.25	Utsikten - Umeå	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 LLLWW
- Karlbergs BK
Swedish Division 1 Norra
26.04.26	Karlberg - Gefle	3:2 ✺
19.04.26	Assyriska Föreningen - Karlberg	3:4 ✺
10.04.26	Karlberg - Enköping	1:3 ✺
04.04.26	Sollentuna - Karlberg	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
22.03.26	Hammarby TFF - Karlberg	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.1 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 1 Norra
29.09.24	Karlberg - Umeå	2:2
19.05.24	Umeå - Karlberg	3:1

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