Match Info

Superettan - Round 17

Date: 4 August 2025, Monday

Location: Umea Energi Arena (Umea)

Referee: Hasani R. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	Discovery+, HBO Max, TV4 Play


	Umeå		Falkenberg

	1	X	2
	3.4	4.1	1.91	Watch
	3.4	3.6	1.9
	3.45	3.9	1.9	Watch
	3.46	4.01	1.99
	5.94	4.68	1.45	Watch
	3.4	3.5	1.91
	3.6	3.9	1.9	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.81 ↓ (3.9)	3.96 ↑ (3.92)	1.85 ↑ (1.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Umeå
24.9%

Draw
23.9%

Falkenberg
51.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24%

23.9%

52.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25%

22.9%

50%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Umeå has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Falkenberg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Umeå than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Falkenberg than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
5.3%	10.5%	84.2%

Umeå - Falkenberg Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

1X2, 1st Half - Falkenberg (2.42) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Falkenberg will win (16 of 19 users predict this - 84.21%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.81% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Falkenberg will win (9 of 12 users predict this - 75%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 13 Selected Experts predict this event. Falkenberg (votes: 10 - 76.9%). Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Eriksson P. (G) 26. Ekman D. 16. Bangala D. 28. Persson D. 19. Olsson T. 24. Marklund L. 25. Gronborg T. 12. Yeboah E. (C) 32. Voilas J. 9. Haga M. H. 7. Vikgren L.	1. Andersson A. (G) 2. Johansson G. 4. Stalheden T. (C) 23. Salo A. 8. Bertilsson N. 17. Sibelius L. 30. Aguda G. 28. Nilsson M. 9. Gotfredsen R. 21. Andersson A. 10. Shahin L.
Substitutes
10. Bjorgolfsson E. 14. Cederblad E. 73. Forsman S. 23. Frigell Jansson L. 8. Hedstrom J. 6. Lindmark S. 31. Uppenberg M. (G)	26. Hindi S. 16. Kallstrom H. 33. Larsson M. 31. Lillienberg G. (G) 19. Lindberg O. 3. Lundgren N. 14. Shears I.
Coaches
Baath-Sjoblom A.	Andersson C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
9', 0 - 1, Andersson A. ⚽, Gotfredsen R. (A),
15', Shahin L. 🟨,
34', 0 - 2, Bertilsson N. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
66', Sibelius L. ↓, Kallstrom H. ↑,
66', Gotfredsen R. ↓, Lindberg O. ↑,
73', Yeboah E. ↓, Cederblad E. ↑,
73', Voilas J. ↓, Hedstrom J. ↑,
84', Haga M. H. 🟨,
89', Marklund L. 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 10).

Umeå has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Falkenberg's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Falkenberg could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Umeå won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Umeå FC
Swedish Superettan
26.07.25	Brage - Umeå	2:2 ✺
19.07.25	Umeå - Örebro	1:1 ✺
29.06.25	Falkenberg - Umeå	2:0 ✺
23.06.25	Helsingborg - Umeå	5:1 ✺
14.06.25	Umeå - Sundsvall	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 TTLLL
- Falkenbergs FF
Swedish Superettan
27.07.25	Falkenberg - Landskrona	1:1 ✺
19.07.25	Östersund - Falkenberg	3:1 ✺
29.06.25	Falkenberg - Umeå	2:0 ✺
22.06.25	Sandviken - Falkenberg	4:1 ✺
14.06.25	Falkenberg - Helsingborg	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 TLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Superettan
29.06.25	Falkenberg - Umeå	2:0

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