Match Info

Superettan - Round 16

Date: 26 July 2025, Saturday

Location: Domnarvsvallen (Borlange)

Referee: Mattsson E. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	Discovery+, HBO Max, max Extra 4, TV4 Play


	Brage		Umeå

	1	X	2
	1.6	4.2	4.5
	1.61	4	4.5
	1.6	4.25	4.85	Watch
	1.6	4.34	5.16
	1.59	4.23	5.07	Watch
	1.65	3.75	4.5
	1.6	4.3	4.91	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↓ (1.63)	4.15 ↑ (4.05)	4.78 ↓ (4.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Brage
58%

Draw
22.5%

Umeå
19.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.5%

23.1%

19.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.1%

22.5%

18.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brage has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Umeå has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brage than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Umeå than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Brage - Umeå Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Brage will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Brage will win (6 of 8 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Frodig V. (G) 21. Ostberg N. 2. Zetterstrom A. (C) 3. Walemark T. 23. Astrand John N. 20. Nordh G. 8. Stensson J. 19. Brkic H. 10. Berggren G. 33. Muhsin A. 9. Trpcevski F.	1. Eriksson P. (G) 20. Linden N. 4. Ohman L. 16. Bangala D. 19. Olsson T. 24. Marklund L. 12. Yeboah E. (C) 8. Hedstrom J. 32. Voilas J. 10. Bjorgolfsson E. 7. Vikgren L.
Substitutes
13. Engdahl A. (G) 5. Konjuhi L. 6. Larsen M. 11. Lundin A. 4. Persson M. 7. Tot Wikstrom E. 22. Weilid C.	14. Cederblad E. 73. Forsman S. 9. Haga M. H. 22. Lindgren T. 6. Lindmark S. 31. Uppenberg M. (G)
Coaches
Mian J.	Baath-Sjoblom A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
16', 1 - 0, Nordh G. ⚽, Astrand John N. (A),
39', Linden N. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
48', 1 - 1, Bjorgolfsson E. ⚽,
52', Bjorgolfsson E. ↓, Haga M. H. ↑,
57', Zetterstrom A. 🟨,
57', Yeboah E. 🟨,
59', 1 - 2, Haga M. H. ⚽,
63', Stensson J. 🟨,
64', Stensson J. ↓, Larsen M. ↑,
66', Marklund L. ↓, Cederblad E. ↑,
66', Yeboah E. ↓, Lindmark S. ↑,
71', Ostberg N. ↓, Weilid C. ↑,
79', Brkic H. ↓, Lundin A. ↑,
90+4', 2 - 2, Trpcevski F. ⚽, Weilid C. (A),
90+8', Ohman L. 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brage won 3.

Brage has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Umeå has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Brage is considered a favorite.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Brage won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:10. (average 1.5:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Brage won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:2. (average 1:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IK Brage
Swedish Superettan
20.07.25	Kalmar - Brage	2:2 ✺
27.06.25	Brage - Sandviken	1:2 ✺
22.06.25	Västerås SK - Brage	2:2 ✺
15.06.25	Brage - Örgryte	3:2 ✺
30.05.25	Örebro - Brage	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.3 TLTWT
- Umeå FC
Swedish Superettan
19.07.25	Umeå - Örebro	1:1 ✺
29.06.25	Falkenberg - Umeå	2:0 ✺
23.06.25	Helsingborg - Umeå	5:1 ✺
14.06.25	Umeå - Sundsvall	0:1 ✺
31.05.25	Västerås SK - Umeå	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 TLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Superettan
27.04.25	Umeå - Brage	0:1
Svenska Cupen
06.03.21	Brage - Umeå	1:0
Swedish Superettan
06.09.20	Umeå - Brage	1:1
30.08.20	Brage - Umeå	0:1
Swedish Division 1 Norra
01.10.17	Umeå - Brage	0:4
20.05.17	Brage - Umeå	3:0
17.09.16	Brage - Umeå	0:0

Upcoming Matches