Match Info

Superettan - Round 12

Date: 14 June 2025, Saturday

Location: Umea Energi Arena (Umea)

Referee: Melin P. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	Discovery+, max Extra 4, Max, TV4 Play


	Umeå		Sundsvall

	1	X	2
	2.6	3.5	2.45	Watch
	3.2	3.3	2.05
	3.15	3.45	2.15	Watch
	2.77	3.45	2.54
	2.96	3.61	2.13	Watch
	3.1	3.3	2.1
	2.62	3.53	2.47	Watch
	3.15	3.45	2.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.94 ↓ (3.75)	3.45 ↓ (3.7)	2.26 ↑ (1.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Umeå
31.7%

Draw
27%

Sundsvall
41.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.6%

24.9%

50.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.7%

23.9%

52.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Umeå has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Umeå's performance.

Sundsvall has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sundsvall might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Umeå than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Umeå that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sundsvall than the current prediction. (+11.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sundsvall could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30%	30%	40%

Umeå - Sundsvall Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Umeå will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Sundsvall will win (votes: 4 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sundsvall: 9.6% – 70.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Umeå (votes: 1 - 20%). Sundsvall (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Umeå (1.64) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Umeå (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Sundsvall (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Uppenberg M. (G) 15. Westin T. (C) 4. Ohman L. 28. Persson D. 19. Olsson T. 24. Marklund L. 12. Yeboah E. 16. Bangala D. 7. Vikgren L. 10. Bjorgolfsson E. 9. Haga M. H.	1. Olsson J. (G) 11. Tammivuori S. 18. Forsberg L. 4. Svanberg L. 30. Hallin M. 8. Palomino M. 23. Aviander H. 6. Manchon M. 9. Kagayama T. 21. Engblom P. (C) 19. Finey Y.
Substitutes
14. Cederblad E. 11. Dejene M. 26. Ekman D. 1. Eriksson P. (G) 17. Martiatu Nordeman A. 18. Othman R. 32. Voilas J.	27. Bahtijar A. 20. Bjornler J. 22. Eriksson M. 13. Henareh D. (G) 5. Olsson D. 15. Sandberg M. 7. Sandberg T.
Coaches
Baath-Sjoblom A.	Ates E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
8', Marklund L. ↓, Martiatu Nordeman A. ↑,
23', Manchon M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
64', Engblom P. ↓, Eriksson M. ↑,
64', Finey Y. ↓, Olsson D. ↑,
71', Manchon M. ↓, Sandberg T. ↑,
71', Palomino M. ↓, Sandberg M. ↑,
74', Hallin M. 🟨,
75', Haga M. H. ↓, Voilas J. ↑,
75', Yeboah E. ↓, Cederblad E. ↑,
81', Ohman L. ↓, Ekman D. ↑,
85', Bjorgolfsson E. (Pen),
86', 0 - 1, Sandberg T. ⚽, Hallin M. (A),
88', Tammivuori S. ↓, Bahtijar A. ↑,
90+2', Westin T. 🟨,
90+6', Kagayama T. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Umeå won 1.

Umeå is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Sundsvall has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Sundsvall might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Umeå won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 4:9. (average 0.7:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Umeå won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Umeå FC
Swedish Superettan
31.05.25	Västerås SK - Umeå	2:2 ✺
26.05.25	Umeå - Örgryte	3:3 ✺
22.05.25	Kalmar - Umeå	2:0 ✺
17.05.25	Umeå - Utsikten	1:3 ✺
Swedish Division 2 - Norrland
10.05.25	Umeå - Kubikensborgs	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 TTLLL
- GIF Sundsvall
Swedish Superettan
01.06.25	Sundsvall - Falkenberg	0:0 ✺
27.05.25	Sandviken - Sundsvall	0:1 ✺
22.05.25	Sundsvall - Brage	0:2 ✺
17.05.25	Örebro - Sundsvall	1:2 ✺
10.05.25	Sundsvall - Västerås SK	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 TWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Svenska Cupen
26.08.21	Umeå - Sundsvall	0:1
Swedish Superettan
09.11.20	Umeå - Sundsvall	1:0
16.06.20	Sundsvall - Umeå	3:1
Club Friendly
14.03.20	Sundsvall - Umeå	2:1
25.02.18	Sundsvall - Umeå	Canceled
02.02.13	Sundsvall - Umeå	3:1

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