Match Info

Superettan - Round 26

Date: 4 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Umea Energi Arena (Umea)

Referee: Hasani R. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	Discovery+, HBO Max, max Extra 8, TV4 Play


	Umeå		Helsingborg

	1	X	2
	2.9	3.6	2.15
	3.4	3.4	1.95
	3.1	3.55	2.12
	3.19	3.65	2.25
	1.53	3.67	6.99	Watch
	2.95	3.66	2.19	Watch
	3.3	3.5	1.99
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.91 ↓ (3.11)	3.58 ↓ (3.6)	2.81 ↑ (2.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Umeå
35.1%

Draw
28.5%

Helsingborg
36.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.1%

26%

43.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.8%

25.4%

42.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Umeå has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Helsingborg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Helsingborg might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Umeå than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Helsingborg than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Helsingborg could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Umeå - Helsingborg Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Umeå (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Helsingborg will win (10 of 10 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Helsingborg will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Umeå (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Helsingborg (votes: 5 - 83.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Eriksson P. (G) 5. Hedenquist J. 4. Ohman L. 15. Westin T. 24. Marklund L. 18. Yiriyon Yaw G. 6. Lindmark S. 19. Olsson T. 28. Persson D. 10. Bjorgolfsson E. 32. Voilas J.	1. Brattberg J. (G) 19. Orn B. 15. Gorefalt T. 3. Nilsson W. 23. Westerlund W. 7. Loeper W. 6. Asoma S. 14. Kjellnas L. 41. Chrupalla P. 16. Johansson A. 29. Aga O.
Substitutes
14. Cederblad E. 26. Ekman D. 25. Gronborg T. 9. Haga M. H. 17. Martiatu Nordeman A. 31. Uppenberg M. (G) 12. Yeboah E.	20. Amer B. 2. Birkfeldt J. 8. Gigovic E. 18. Ljung C. 31. Nordin A. 30. Radahl E. (G) 10. Svensson M.
Coaches
Sjostrom J.	Saarenpaa K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
15', 1 - 0, Bjorgolfsson E. ⚽, Marklund L. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
52', Ohman L. 🟨,
66', Chrupalla P. ↓, Gigovic E. ↑,
66', Asoma S. ↓, Svensson M. ↑,
71', Marklund L. ↓, Martiatu Nordeman A. ↑,
76', Gorefalt T. 🟨,
80', Ohman L. ↓, Cederblad E. ↑,
80', Persson D. ↓, Ekman D. ↑,
80', Westerlund W. ↓, Ljung C. ↑,
89', Bjorgolfsson E. ↓, Haga M. H. ↑,
90+1', Haga M. H. 🟨,
90+1', Brattberg J. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 8).

Umeå has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Helsingborg has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Helsingborg may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Helsingborg will hold a modest advantage in this match.

We predict that Helsingborg will win today's game, with odds of 1.97.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Umeå won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Umeå FC
Swedish Superettan
29.09.25	Sundsvall - Umeå	3:1 ✺
25.09.25	Umeå - Västerås SK	1:2 ✺
19.09.25	Östersund - Umeå	3:0 ✺
15.09.25	Örgryte - Umeå	3:1 ✺
31.08.25	Umeå - Oddevold	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Helsingborg IF
Swedish Superettan
29.09.25	Helsingborg - Trelleborg	4:1 ✺
25.09.25	Sandviken - Helsingborg	0:1 ✺
20.09.25	Helsingborg - Örgryte	0:1 ✺
16.09.25	Helsingborg - Landskrona	0:0 ✺
30.08.25	Västerås SK - Helsingborg	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Superettan
23.06.25	Helsingborg - Umeå	5:1

Upcoming Matches