Match Info

Superettan - Round 25

Date: 29 September 2025, Monday

Location: Olympia (Helsingborg)

Referee: Nehdi F. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	Discovery+, HBO Max, TV4 Play


	Helsingborg		Trelleborg

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.6	3.8	Watch
	1.95	3.5	3.7	Watch
	1.99	3.57	4.09
	1.91	3.46	3.90	Watch
	1.96	3.54	3.72	Watch
	1.87	3.75	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↑ (1.87)	3.57 ↓ (3.82)	3.8 ↑ (3.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Helsingborg
48.8%

Draw
26.4%

Trelleborg
24.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.4%

24.7%

24.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.7%

24.1%

24.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Helsingborg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Trelleborg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Helsingborg than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Trelleborg than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Helsingborg - Trelleborg Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Helsingborg (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Trelleborg (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Trelleborg (1.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Helsingborg will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Helsingborg (votes: 2 - 50%). Trelleborg (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Brattberg J. (G) 19. Orn B. 2. Birkfeldt J. (C) 3. Nilsson W. 5. Bengtsson S. 7. Loeper W. 6. Asoma S. 14. Kjellnas L. 9. Akimey A. 16. Johansson A. 29. Aga O.	12. Nilsson M. (G) 20. Horberg F. 5. Ogwuche A. 3. Weberg C. (C) 15. Godwin E. 10. Vidjeskog A. 24. Christiansson V. 6. Wendt K. 22. Martinsson F. 45. Dalugge Z. 14. Nehme A.
Substitutes
41. Chrupalla P. 8. Gigovic E. 15. Gorefalt T. 18. Ljung C. 30. Radahl E. (G) 10. Svensson M. 23. Westerlund W.	21. Alievski E. 7. Andersson J. 16. Asani A. 50. Brandin O. 19. Karlsson T. 35. Mehmeti A. 8. Ruuska O.
Coaches
Saarenpaa K.	Haynes K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
21', 1 - 0, Akimey A. ⚽, Loeper W. (A),
31', Akimey A. 🟨,
37', 1 - 1, Vidjeskog A. ⚽, Martinsson F. (A),
42', Wendt K. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
57', Bengtsson S. ↓, Westerlund W. ↑,
67', 2 - 1, Loeper W. (Pen),
68', Nehme A. ↓, Andersson J. ↑,
69', 3 - 1, Aga O. ⚽,
70', Akimey A. ↓, Svensson M. ↑,
70', Asoma S. ↓, Gigovic E. ↑,
79', Vidjeskog A. 🟨,
79', Christiansson V. ↓, Mehmeti A. ↑,
80', Wendt K. ↓, Karlsson T. ↑,
81', Vidjeskog A. 🟨,
85', Martinsson F. ↓, Asani A. ↑,
86', Godwin E. ↓, Alievski E. ↑,
87', Loeper W. ↓, Chrupalla P. ↑,
87', Birkfeldt J. ↓, Gorefalt T. ↑,
90+4', 4 - 1, Johansson A. ⚽, Aga O. (A),

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 10 and 14 in the zone Superettan (Relegation)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Helsingborg won 1.

Neither of the teams is performing well right now.

Trelleborg may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Helsingborg will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Helsingborg won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 7:15. (average 0.6:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Helsingborg won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:10. (average 0.8:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Helsingborg IF
Swedish Superettan
25.09.25	Sandviken - Helsingborg	0:1 ✺
20.09.25	Helsingborg - Örgryte	0:1 ✺
16.09.25	Helsingborg - Landskrona	0:0 ✺
30.08.25	Västerås SK - Helsingborg	4:0 ✺
26.08.25	Kalmar - Helsingborg	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WLTLL
- Trelleborgs FF
Swedish Superettan
25.09.25	Trelleborg - Örgryte	0:2 ✺
20.09.25	Varbergs BoIS - Trelleborg	3:1 ✺
14.09.25	Trelleborg - Sandviken	1:2 ✺
31.08.25	Brage - Trelleborg	2:1 ✺
25.08.25	Trelleborg - Landskrona	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Superettan
27.05.25	Trelleborg - Helsingborg	0:0
01.09.24	Helsingborg - Trelleborg	0:3
17.05.24	Trelleborg - Helsingborg	0:0
Svenska Cupen
02.03.24	Trelleborg - Helsingborg	2:1
Club Friendly
03.02.24	Trelleborg - Helsingborg	0:1
Swedish Superettan
28.10.23	Trelleborg - Helsingborg	0:0
24.07.23	Helsingborg - Trelleborg	1:3

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