Match Info

1. Lig - Round 28

Date: 1 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Ümraniye Hekimbaşı Şehir Stadyumu (Istanbul)

Referee: Saglam K. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Tabii, TRT Spor


	Umraniyespor		Bandırmaspor

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.1	2.6	Watch
	2.42	3.37	2.61	Watch
	2.47	3.48	2.8
	2.47	3.55	2.61	Watch
	2.45	3.3	2.63
	2.4	3.28	2.57
	2.55	3.3	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.45 ↓ (2.47)	3.34 ↓ (3.55)	2.63 ↑ (2.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Umraniyespor
37.5%

Draw
27.5%

Bandırmaspor
34.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.6%

26.2%

36.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.7%

25.5%

35.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Umraniyespor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Bandırmaspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Umraniyespor than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bandırmaspor than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Umraniyespor - Bandırmaspor Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Umraniyespor will win (votes: 5 - 83.3%). Bandırmaspor will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Umraniyespor (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Umraniyespor (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Umraniyespor (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Topaloglu C. (G) 81. Bulbul A. T. 14. Kocaturk Y. 44. Glumac T. (C) 75. Kaplan E. 20. Babacan A. 88. Djokanovic A. 10. Bardhi J. 77. Benny 9. Celik B. 27. Soukou C.	16. Alkan A. (G) 2. Ceylan O. 27. Alici K. 33. Nukan A. (C) 53. Albayrak M. 20. Parmak A. 10. Gumuskaya M. 17. Ndongala D. 24. Amaral J. 7. Fall M. 99. Douglas Tanque
Substitutes
1. Adiyaman U. (G) 5. Aktas K. 11. Ekincier B. 4. Eser M. 8. Goksu S. 17. Hoti E. 12. Kosoko T. 53. Oksuz B. 30. Sas Y. D. 70. Yildirim O.	30. Acar E. 29. Badji A. 6. Ciftci H. 8. Cinemre E. 88. Esendemir Y. 9. Kehinde T. 22. Midilic Y. 1. Ozcimen A. (G) 35. Zorluer Y. (G)
Coaches
Albayrak T.	Gursel M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
6', Glumac T. 🟨,
11', 1 - 0, Bulbul A. T. ⚽, Benny (A),
19', Ceylan O. ↓, Ciftci H. ↑,
21', Albayrak M. 🟨,
41', Bardhi J. ↓, Goksu S. ↑,
41', 1 - 1, Amaral J. ⚽, Fall M. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Glumac T. ↓, Oksuz B. ↑,
46', Ndongala D. ↓, Badji A. ↑,
73', Babacan A. ↓, Hoti E. ↑,
77', Fall M. ↓, Kehinde T. ↑,
77', Amaral J. ↓, Acar E. ↑,
78', Ciftci H. 🟨,
80', Parmak A. ↓, Cinemre E. ↑,
85', 1 - 2, Acar E. ⚽, Cinemre E. (A),
89', Soukou C. ↓, Sas Y. D. ↑,
89', Benny ↓, Ekincier B. ↑,
90+2', Douglas Tanque ↓, Midilic Y. ↑,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Umraniyespor won 0.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Bandırmaspor: Aydin E. (Yellow Cards) Celibkay T. (Inactive) Kalender T. (Eye injury) Mulumba R. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Bandırmaspor: Akyazi K. (Injury) Burgaz G. (Injury) Ciftci H. (Injury) Hountondji C. (Injury)

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Umraniyespor won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 8:16. (average 0.7:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Umraniyespor won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:5. (average 1:0.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Bandirmaspor	8	2	4	2	12:5	7	10
16	Umraniyespor	8	1	3	4	6:9	-3	6

Last Results with these Odds

Umraniyespor - the odds 2.47 are the expected chance of winning is 37.59%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Umraniyespor
Turkish First League
22.02.26	Çorum - Umraniyespor	2:0 ✺
17.02.26	Umraniyespor - Boluspor	4:2 ✺
13.02.26	Igdirspor - Umraniyespor	1:1 ✺
08.02.26	Umraniyespor - İstanbulspor	0:0 ✺
02.02.26	Erokspor - Umraniyespor	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 LWTTL
- Bandırmaspor
Turkish First League
22.02.26	Bandırmaspor - Hatayspor	4:0 ✺
18.02.26	Manisa FK - Bandırmaspor	3:2 ✺
14.02.26	Bandırmaspor - Serik Belediyespor	0:3 ✺
08.02.26	Keçiörengücü - Bandırmaspor	3:1 ✺
01.02.26	Bandırmaspor - Vanspor	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Turkish First League
04.10.25	Bandırmaspor - Umraniyespor	2:1
02.03.25	Bandırmaspor - Umraniyespor	2:0
05.10.24	Umraniyespor - Bandırmaspor	1:1
24.02.24	Bandırmaspor - Umraniyespor	4:1
29.09.23	Umraniyespor - Bandırmaspor	0:1
06.02.22	Bandırmaspor - Umraniyespor	2:0
11.09.21	Umraniyespor - Bandırmaspor	2:0

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