Match Info

1. Lig - Round 25

Date: 13 February 2026, Friday

Location: Iğdır Şehir Stadyumu (Iğdır)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Turkey	beIN Sports 2, Tabii, TRT Spor


	Igdirspor		Umraniyespor

	1	X	2
	1.42	4	6	Watch
	1.41	4.56	6.18
	1.44	4.87	6.34
	1.45	4.78	5.92	Watch
	1.44	4.4	5.75
	1.49	4.19	6.29	Watch
	1.4	4.75	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↑ (1.39)	4.51 ↓ (4.63)	6.07 ↓ (6.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Igdirspor
64.3%

Draw
20.5%

Umraniyespor
15.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.9%

19.8%

14.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68%

19.2%

13.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Igdirspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Umraniyespor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Igdirspor than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Umraniyespor than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.9%	11.1%	0%

Igdirspor - Umraniyespor Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Igdirspor (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Igdirspor will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
54. Tepe T. (G) 8. Bacuna L. 5. Ozturk A. (C) 3. Tsunami 77. Vural G. 2. Yalcin R. 21. Erdogan D. 58. Kaya G. 10. Loshaj F. 7. Fofana M. 9. Bruno G.	35. Topaloglu C. (G) 81. Bulbul A. T. 53. Oksuz B. 44. Glumac T. (C) 75. Kaplan E. 10. Bardhi J. 8. Goksu S. 17. Hoti E. 27. Soukou C. 12. Kosoko T. 11. Ekincier B.
Substitutes
61. Asan S. 26. Bolat S. (G) 17. Engin A. 15. Ergul T. 6. Guctekin O. K. 23. Guneren A. K. 55. Koita F. 20. Mendes R. 4. Selvi A. 66. Yasar A.	1. Adiyaman U. (G) 20. Babacan A. 77. Benny 9. Celik B. 88. Djokanovic A. 14. Kocaturk Y. 97. Saitoglu Y. 30. Sas Y. D. 38. Ugur O. 59. Yilmaz Y.
Coaches
Kocak K.	Acikgoz L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Loshaj F. ⚽, Bruno G. (A),
17', Oksuz B. 🟨,
27', Vural G. 🟨,
37', Hoti E. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Hoti E. ↓, Babacan A. ↑,
46', Oksuz B. ↓, Kocaturk Y. ↑,
53', 1 - 1, Bardhi J. ⚽, Soukou C. (A),
64', Vural G. ↓, Mendes R. ↑,
68', Soukou C. ↓, Benny ↑,
69', Kosoko T. ↓, Celik B. ↑,
73', Erdogan D. ↓, Guctekin O. K. ↑,
73', Bruno G. ↓, Koita F. ↑,
81', Glumac T. 🟨,
82', Koita F. (Penalty Awarded),
86', Fofana M. ↓, Engin A. ↑,
88', Ekincier B. ↓, Djokanovic A. ↑,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 16).

Igdirspor is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Umraniyespor has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Igdirspor may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Igdirspor is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Umraniyespor: Benny (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in Umraniyespor: Yildirim O. (Injury)

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Igdirspor won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 0.7:0).

Including home match between the teams, Igdirspor won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Igdir FK	8	5	1	2	12:7	5	16
16	Umraniyespor	8	1	3	4	6:9	-3	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Igdirspor
Turkish First League
08.02.26	Serik Belediyespor - Igdirspor	1:3 ✺
Turkish Cup
03.02.26	Igdirspor - Antalyaspor	6:0 ✺
Turkish First League
31.01.26	Igdirspor - Manisa FK	0:0 ✺
24.01.26	Vanspor - Igdirspor	3:0 ✺
19.01.26	Igdirspor - Sakaryaspor	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WWTLW
- Umraniyespor
Turkish First League
08.02.26	Umraniyespor - İstanbulspor	0:0 ✺
02.02.26	Erokspor - Umraniyespor	1:0 ✺
25.01.26	Hatayspor - Umraniyespor	0:2 ✺
18.01.26	Umraniyespor - Serik Belediyespor	5:0 ✺
12.01.26	Manisa FK - Umraniyespor	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 TLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Turkish First League
19.09.25	Umraniyespor - Igdirspor	0:1
28.03.25	Igdirspor - Umraniyespor	0:0
08.11.24	Umraniyespor - Igdirspor	0:1

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