Match Info

1. Lig - Round 23

Date: 2 February 2026, Monday

Location: Esenler Stadium (Istanbul)

Referee: Turkmen M. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Tabii, TRT Spor


	Erokspor		Umraniyespor

	1	X	2
	1.5	3.4	6.25	Watch
	1.46	4.31	5.69	Watch
	1.48	4.41	6.55
	1.46	4.49	6.1	Watch
	1.5	3.9	6
	1.57	3.56	6.55	Watch
	1.44	4.2	6.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↑ (1.39)	4.04 ↓ (4.79)	6.21 ↓ (6.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Erokspor
62.2%

Draw
22.9%

Umraniyespor
14.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.6%

19.3%

14%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.6%

18.5%

13.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Erokspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Umraniyespor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Erokspor than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Erokspor, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Umraniyespor than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	0%	28.6%

Erokspor - Umraniyespor Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Erokspor will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Umraniyespor will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Umraniyespor (2.48) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Umraniyespor will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Umraniyespor (votes: 7 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
34. Cetin E. (G) 77. Bilazer H. 15. Nzaba F. 14. Ulas O. 33. Alic E. 5. Okyar M. 89. Amilton 12. Kanga G. 99. Beyaz O. 11. Faye M. 10. Kayode O. (C)	35. Topaloglu C. (G) 70. Yildirim O. 53. Oksuz B. 44. Glumac T. (C) 75. Kaplan E. 8. Goksu S. 88. Djokanovic A. 10. Bardhi J. 77. Benny 9. Celik B. 11. Ekincier B.
Substitutes
7. Catakovic H. 97. Cavare D. 4. Kacar T. 8. Karaman A. 17. Korkmaz E. 73. Lus B. 20. Niyaz R. 44. Oral E. A. (G) 1. Tetik B. (G) 16. Yasar A.	1. Adiyaman U. (G) 5. Aktas K. 20. Babacan A. 81. Bulbul A. T. 17. Hoti E. 14. Kocaturk Y. 12. Kosoko T. 92. Ozdemir T. 30. Sas Y. D. 27. Soukou C.
Coaches
Ozkoylu O.	Albayrak T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
32', 1 - 0, Faye M. ⚽, Bilazer H. (A),
39', Bardhi J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Bardhi J. ↓, Babacan A. ↑,
66', Djokanovic A. ↓, Hoti E. ↑,
66', Celik B. ↓, Kosoko T. ↑,
66', Ekincier B. ↓, Soukou C. ↑,
71', Glumac T. 🟨,
76', Okyar M. 🟨,
78', Faye M. ↓, Lus B. ↑,
78', Kayode O. ↓, Catakovic H. ↑,
82', Kanga G. ↓, Niyaz R. ↑,
83', Beyaz O. ↓, Karaman A. ↑,
84', Benny ↓, Ozdemir T. ↑,
89', Kosoko T. 🟨,
90+2', Alic E. 🟨,
90+2', Amilton 🟨,
90+3', Amilton ↓, Korkmaz E. ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final) and 15).

Erokspor is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Umraniyespor has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Erokspor is the undisputed favorite.

There will not play in Erokspor: Gedik E. (Suspended) Kahveci M. (Suspended)

There will not play in Umraniyespor: Saitoglu Y. (Suspended)

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Erokspor won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).

Including home match between the teams, Erokspor won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
16	Umraniyespor	8	1	3	4	6:9	-3	6
17	Erokspor	8	0	5	3	4:10	-6	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Erokspor
Turkish First League
24.01.26	Serik Belediyespor - Erokspor	0:3 ✺
17.01.26	Erokspor - Vanspor	0:0 ✺
10.01.26	Adana Demirspor - Erokspor	0:5 ✺
27.12.25	Pendikspor - Erokspor	0:0 ✺
19.12.25	Erokspor - Sarıyer	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WTWTT
- Umraniyespor
Turkish First League
25.01.26	Hatayspor - Umraniyespor	0:2 ✺
18.01.26	Umraniyespor - Serik Belediyespor	5:0 ✺
12.01.26	Manisa FK - Umraniyespor	1:0 ✺
28.12.25	Keçiörengücü - Umraniyespor	3:1 ✺
21.12.25	Umraniyespor - Adana Demirspor	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Turkish First League
30.08.25	Umraniyespor - Erokspor	0:2
14.04.25	Umraniyespor - Erokspor	1:1
09.12.24	Erokspor - Umraniyespor	0:1

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