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Current Win Probability
Sakaryaspor 36.6%
Draw 28.5%
Vanspor 34.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
31.5%
27.1%
41.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
30.1%
25.9%
43.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sakaryaspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sakaryaspor's performance.
Vanspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vanspor might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sakaryaspor than the current prediction. (-6.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sakaryaspor that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vanspor than the current prediction. (+8.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vanspor could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
33.3%
33.3%
33.3%
Sakaryaspor - Vanspor Predictions
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Sakaryaspor will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Vanspor will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
DNB - Sakaryaspor (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Sakaryaspor (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
29. Szumski J. (G) 21. Yavuz S. 86. Bekaroglu B. (C) 4. Cakir B. 22. Okumus A. 85. Fofana M. 14. Demir E. 16. Sen K. 91. Bostan M. 99. Yildirim P. 10. Pena S.
25. Akbaba C. (G) 65. Bingol M. (C) 53. Cavusoglu M. 6. Jevsenak Z. 35. Isciler B. 41. Ozcan M. 10. Jefferson 13. Oulare N. 45. Bars E. 7. Hostikka S. 19. Bikoue
Substitutes
8. Cihan M. 1. Dadakdeniz A. (G) 25. Demir A. 24. Dursun S. 43. Kocaman A. 27. Owusu 2. Ruan Teixeira 19. Soro I. 3. Terzi E. 9. Zwolinski L.
17. Caglayan O. 21. Demirol A. 22. Destici S. 4. Dikmen E. 16. Gebecelioglu B. (G) 20. Mamah K. 8. Traore A. 77. Usta G. 1. Uysal A. (G) 82. Yildrim A.
Coaches
Dalci M.
Korkmaz O.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
30', 1 - 0, Fofana M. ⚽, Sen K. (A),
36', Bingol M. ↓, Traore A. ↑,
44', Terzi E. 🟨,
45+3', Jevsenak Z. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
62', Bostan M. 🟨,
63', 1 - 1, Hostikka S. ⚽, Traore A. (A),
66', Bostan M. ↓, Owusu ↑,
66', Pena S. ↓, Ruan Teixeira ↑,
67', Bekaroglu B. 🟨,
69', Jefferson ↓, Caglayan O. ↑,
69', Bars E. ↓, Mamah K. ↑,
69', Isciler B. ↓, Destici S. ↑,
75', Demir E. ↓, Soro I. ↑,
82', Fofana M. ↓, Zwolinski L. ↑,
82', Okumus A. ↓, Terzi E. ↑,
83', Ruan Teixeira 🟨,
84', Oulare N. 🟨,
90+4', Traore A. 🟨,
90+4', 2 - 1, Ruan Teixeira ⚽, Owusu (A),
90+6', Ruan Teixeira 🟨,
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 11).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sakaryaspor won 2.
Sakaryaspor has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Vanspor's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
There will not play in Sakaryaspor: Demir M.
(Yellow Cards)
Turken A.
(Inactive)
There will not play in Vanspor: Mamah K.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Sakaryaspor: Demir M.
(Injury)
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Sakaryaspor won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:8. (average 1.5:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Sakaryaspor won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:4. (average 2:1).