Match Info

PORTUGAL: CAMPEONATO DE PORTUGAL - ROUND 15

Date: 22 January 2023, Sunday


	União da Serra		Sertanense

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.1	2.05
	3.25	2.75	2.2
	3.35	3.05	2.06
	3.81	2.94	2.1
	3.56	3.04	2.04
	3.45	3.1	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.45 ↑ (2.86)	3 ↓ (3.1)	2.09 ↓ (2.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

União da Serra
26.3%

Draw
30.3%

Sertanense
43.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.7%

29.2%

39.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.4%

28.9%

39.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

União da Serra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that União da Serra's form might have worsened.

Sertanense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for União da Serra than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for União da Serra, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sertanense than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

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Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 10 in the zone Relegation and 6).

Recent matches União da Serra is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Sertanense is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Sertanense will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches União da Serra won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- União da Serra
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
15.01.23	Alcains - União da Serra	0:1 ✺
08.01.23	Loures - União da Serra	0:0 ✺
18.12.22	União da Serra - Pero Pinheiro	1:0 ✺
11.12.22	Coruchense - União da Serra	2:1 ✺
04.12.22	União da Serra - Sintrense	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WTWLL
- Sertanense
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
15.01.23	Sertanense - Arronches Benfica	0:1 ✺
08.01.23	Alcains - Sertanense	0:3 ✺
18.12.22	Sertanense - Loures	2:1 ✺
11.12.22	Pero Pinheiro - Sertanense	2:3 ✺
04.12.22	Sertanense - Coruchense	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
25.09.22	Sertanense - União da Serra	1:0

União da Serra - Sertanense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide