Match Info

Liga 3 - Round 13

Date: 14 December 2025, Sunday

Location: Campo Cha das Padeiras (Santarem)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	União de Santarém		Amora

	1	X	2
	2.18	2.92	3.2
	2.41	2.99	3.41
	2.3	2.97	3.35	Watch
	2.3	2.8	3.1
	2.43	3.06	3.03	Watch
	2.25	2.83	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↑ (2.02)	2.93 ↓ (3.15)	3.22 ↓ (3.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

União de Santarém
39.9%

Draw
31.5%

Amora
28.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.3%

29.7%

23.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.1%

30.2%

23.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

União de Santarém has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that União de Santarém's form might have worsened.

Amora has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for União de Santarém than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for União de Santarém, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Amora than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Amora, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

União de Santarém - Amora Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Santarém (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Hidalgo N. (G) 17. Aguas G. 49. Castro T. 9. Eberth 16. Grilo M. (C) 3. Joao Ricardo 58. Monteiro D. 4. Pereira P. 30. Reis N. 5. Rodeia M. 29. Teixeira R.	95. Diego (G) 8. Antunes M. (C) 3. Correia T. 28. Cruz H. 17. Furtado E. 9. Oliveira J. 77. Pala F. 6. Renzo Trotta 71. Semedo D. 16. Teixeira P. 37. Wendel
Substitutes
18. Bamba 7. Fuller T. 10. Madeira T. 79. Marcante E. 24. Medalli N. 15. Midoes R. 78. Pedro Teixeira (G) 19. Silva R. 20. Ventura B.	19. Barros G. 47. Correia H. (G) 29. Diop A. 5. Jonnathan Lima 4. Marlom Oliveira 23. Marques F. 22. Marques J. 99. Ribeiro E. 10. Toni

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
11', Furtado E. 🟨,
33', Teixeira R. ↓, Silva R. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Rodeia M. 🟨,
57', Reis N. 🟨,
62', Monteiro D. ↓, Ventura B. ↑,
64', Furtado E. ↓, Diop A. ↑,
64', Semedo D. ↓, Toni ↑,
80', Castro T. ↓, Medalli N. ↑,
80', Aguas G. ↓, Madeira T. ↑,
81', Eberth ↓, Bamba ↑,
82', Teixeira P. ↓, Marques J. ↑,
83', Grilo M. 🟨,
87', 🟨,
87', 🟨,
90+3', Oliveira J. ↓, Ribeiro E. ↑,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 8 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group: ) and 6 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group: ))

Santarém has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Amora is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Amora may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Santarém will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Santarém won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:8. (average 0.8:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Santarém won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- União de Santarém
Portuguese Liga 3
07.12.25	Covilhã - União de Santarém	1:1 ✺
29.11.25	União de Santarém - Académica Coimbra	1:1 ✺
09.11.25	Lusitano GC - União de Santarém	1:0 ✺
02.11.25	Belenenses - União de Santarém	0:2 ✺
26.10.25	União de Santarém - Mafra	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 TTLWL
- Amora FC
Portuguese Liga 3
06.12.25	Amora - 1 Dezembro	1:1 ✺
30.11.25	Caldas - Amora	1:2 ✺
08.11.25	Amora - Atlético CP	1:1 ✺
02.11.25	Covilhã - Amora	0:2 ✺
26.10.25	Amora - Académica Coimbra	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.6 TWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 3
14.09.25	Amora - União de Santarém	3:0
16.04.22	Amora - União de Santarém	0:1
20.03.22	União de Santarém - Amora	2:2
13.02.22	Amora - União de Santarém	2:0
06.11.21	União de Santarém - Amora	1:1

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