Match Info

Liga 3 - Round 10

Date: 9 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Campo Estrela (Evora)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	Lusitano GC		União de Santarém

	1	X	2
	1.98	3.1	3.5
	2.06	3.28	3.8
	1.88	3.31	4.13	Watch
	2	3.05	3.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↑ (1.92)	3.19 ↓ (3.3)	3.77 ↓ (4.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lusitano GC
46.6%

Draw
29%

União de Santarém
24.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.5%

28.2%

23.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

28.1%

23.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lusitano GC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

União de Santarém has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lusitano GC than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for União de Santarém than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Lusitano GC - União de Santarém Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Martins D. (G) 10. Aguas M. 11. Almara F. 8. Baptista T. 14. Cande B. 53. Carvalho E. 30. Davou S. 9. Lopes D. 5. Palancha T. 25. Pinto J. 4. Santana C.	22. Hidalgo N. (G) 17. Aguas G. 49. Castro T. 9. Eberth 16. Grilo M. (C) 3. Joao Ricardo 58. Monteiro D. 6. Nanco I. 4. Pereira P. 30. Reis N. 14. Simoes J.
Substitutes
18. Dionisio S. M. 80. Gomes A. 29. Isnaba G. 36. Lima T. 37. Monteiro R. 24. Prego B. 7. Sequeira G. 77. Sonhi Y. 1. Sousa J. (G)	18. Bamba 7. Fuller T. 90. Koume S. 10. Madeira T. 24. Medalli N. 78. Pedro Teixeira (G) 76. Ramos D. 19. Silva R. 29. Teixeira R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
26', Cande B. 🟨,
43', Nanco I. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Nanco I. ↓, Bamba ↑,
60', Cande B. ↓, Gomes A. ↑,
71', Reis N. ↓, Madeira T. ↑,
76', Almara F. ↓, Sonhi Y. ↑,
79', Castro T. ↓, Medalli N. ↑,
86', Lopes D. ↓, Isnaba G. ↑,
90+3', 1 - 0, Santana C. ⚽,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 8 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group: ) and 6 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group: ))

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Lusitano GC may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Lusitano GC is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Lusitano GC won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lusitano GC
Portuguese Liga 3
01.11.25	Lusitano GC - 1 Dezembro	2:0 ✺
26.10.25	Caldas - Lusitano GC	2:1 ✺
11.10.25	Lusitano GC - Académica Coimbra	0:2 ✺
04.10.25	Lusitano GC - Amora	3:1 ✺
28.09.25	Covilhã - Lusitano GC	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WLLWT
- União de Santarém
Portuguese Liga 3
02.11.25	Belenenses - União de Santarém	0:2 ✺
26.10.25	União de Santarém - Mafra	1:2 ✺
04.10.25	Atlético CP - União de Santarém	1:2 ✺
28.09.25	1 Dezembro - União de Santarém	0:0 ✺
24.09.25	União de Santarém - Caldas	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.3 WLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 3
09.08.25	União de Santarém - Lusitano GC	1:0

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