The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Unión Comercio 62.4%
Draw 23.1%
Ayacucho 14.5%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
48%
29%
23%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49.4%
28.2%
22.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Unión Comercio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Unión Comercio's performance.
Ayacucho has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ayacucho might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unión Comercio than the current prediction. (-13%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Unión Comercio that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ayacucho than the current prediction. (+7.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ayacucho could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Unión Comercio - Ayacucho Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Amasifuen J. (G) 5. Alvarez E. 99. Goluz Pena B. 21. Gomez R. 10. Guerrero G. (C) 24. Javier Navea 20. Palacios M. 25. Paucar E. 3. Peralta M. 31. Pinedo A. 7. Vargas C.
1. Acosta M. (G) 25. Albornoz C. H. 2. Aquino H. 11. Barboza S. 24. Diaz M. 20. Fanarraga A. 7. Infante M. 29. Lojas S. 19. Tamariz A. (C) 17. Tuesta J. 22. Velasquez J.
Substitutes
11. Carranza M. 19. Delgado G. 28. Garcia L. (G) 40. Gavino L. 23. Mimbela W. 90. Small C. 26. Tandazo J. 15. Vargas C. 17. Vargas D.
16. Ataupilco G. 30. Cabrera O. (G) 15. Gonzales E. 18. Huyhua C. 10. Mezarina F. 21. Morales J. 14. Ochante A. 33. Salcedo R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
18', 1 - 0, Goluz Pena B. ⚽,
25', 2 - 0, Pinedo A. ⚽,
35', Barboza S. ↓, Morales J. ↑,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Fanarraga A. ↓, Gonzales E. ↑,
47', 3 - 0, Guerrero G. ⚽,
52', 4 - 0, Goluz Pena B. (Penalty Awarded),
56', Palacios M. ↓, Delgado G. ↑,
56', Paucar E. ↓, Vargas D. ↑,
60', Vargas C. ↓, Mimbela W. ↑,
60', Goluz Pena B. ↓, Small C. ↑,
60', Guerrero G. ↓, Carranza M. ↑,
69', Diaz M. ↓, Salcedo R. ↑,
69', Infante M. ↓, Mezarina F. ↑,
84', Tamariz A. 🟨,
87', 5 - 0, Gomez R. ⚽,
89', Mezarina F. 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Unión Comercio won 2.
The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.
Unión Comercio holds a commanding advantage according to the oddsmakers.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Unión Comercio has recorded 7 wins, 6 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 25:23 (averaging 1.3:1.2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Unión Comercio against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses, with 15:9 goals (averaging 1.5:0.9 per game).
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Amasifuen J. (G) 
Alvarez E. 
Goluz Pena B. 
Acosta M. (G) 
Small C. 
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