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Current Win Probability
Unión Comercio 52.5%
Draw 28.1%
Universidad San Martín 19.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
49.2%
27.5%
23.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Unión Comercio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)
Universidad San Martín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)
Unión Comercio - Universidad San Martín Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
28. Garcia L. (G) 5. Alvarez E. 11. Carranza M. 19. Delgado G. 99. Goluz Pena B. 10. Guerrero G. 24. Javier Navea 20. Palacios M. 25. Paucar E. 3. Peralta M. 31. Pinedo A.
1. Ynamine P. (G) 5. Ampuero A. 18. Arteaga A. 28. Huacachin D. 29. Ismodes D. 70. Lopez C. 10. Oliva E. 4. Otavio Gut 24. Pena K. 17. Reyes J. 21. Romero J.
Substitutes
12. Amasifuen S. (G) 18. Ayala J. 34. Cruz E. 40. Gavino L. 23. Mimbela W. 90. Small C. 7. Vargas C. 15. Vargas C. 17. Vargas D.
30. Cornejo S. 6. Cuba R. 12. Mayta Boza L. L. (G) 90. Sanchez K. 16. Sanchez S. 14. Torres R. 23. Vargas R. 39. Vera F. 20. Zegarra I.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
7', Delgado G. 🟨,
16', 1 - 0, Palacios M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Delgado G. ↓, Ayala J. ↑,
58', Huacachin D. ↓, Torres R. ↑,
58', Ismodes D. ↓, Cornejo S. ↑,
64', Paucar E. ↓, Vargas D. ↑,
64', Guerrero G. ↓, Vargas C. ↑,
71', Vargas C. 🟨,
72', Palacios M. ↓, Mimbela W. ↑,
72', Carranza M. ↓, Small C. ↑,
73', Reyes J. ↓, Cuba R. ↑,
73', Romero J. ↓, Zegarra I. ↑,
74', Cuba R. 🟨,
86', Lopez C. ↓, Sanchez K. ↑,
90+3', Mimbela W. 🟨,
Preview
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 2 (Promotion Group: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 2 (Promotion Group: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Unión Comercio won 2.
Uni San Martín has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Unión Comercio may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Unión Comercio is seen as the favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Unión Comercio won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 19:19. (average 1:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Unión Comercio won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:4. (average 1.3:0.4).