Match Info

CHILE: Liga de Primera - Round 4

Date: 7 March 2025, Friday

Location: Estadio Municipal Nicolás Chahuán (La Calera)

Referee: Araos M. (Chi)


	Unión La Calera		Huachipato

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.25	3.5	Watch
	2.25	3	3.25
	2.22	3.2	3.35	Watch
	2.19	3.29	3.6
	2.15	3.21	3.46	Watch
	2.2	3.1	3.2
	2.13	3.29	3.54	Watch
	2.22	3.2	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↓ (2.29)	3.19 ↓ (3.2)	3.41 ↑ (3.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Unión La Calera
43%

Draw
29.4%

Huachipato
27.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.4%

28.9%

30.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.4%

28.9%

30.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Unión La Calera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Huachipato has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unión La Calera than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Huachipato than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	75%	25%

Unión La Calera - Huachipato Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Huachipato will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pena Jorge (G) 21. Alvarez Wallace A. 14. Brunet N. 6. Campos Mosqueira F. 8. De Los Santos E. 25. Diaz C. 7. Insaurralde C. 27. Mesias Gonzalez I. S. 5. Moya C. 11. Saez S. (C) 4. Ulloa D.	25. Odriozola R. (G) 9. Altamirano L. 21. Brea 7. Briceno M. 5. Caroca R. 18. Gutierrez Jara J. I. 13. Malanca R. 20. Martinez J. A. 6. Sepulveda C. (C) 27. Velasquez L. 14. Villanueva C.
Substitutes
13. Ballesteros J. M. (G) 18. Encinas A. 10. Lobos F. 19. Lopez F. 23. Mendez Gonzalez J. E. 2. Saldias J. 29. Soto J.	15. Castillo A. 11. Figueroa J. 30. Garrido B. 28. Gutierrez M. 17. Lopez Z. (G) 19. Oyarzun D. 8. Silva S.
Coaches
Lemma W.	Garcia J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2', Villanueva C. 🟨,
9', Velasquez L. 🟨,
24', Saez S. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Velasquez L. ↓, Castillo A. ↑,
64', Villanueva C. ↓, Garrido B. ↑,
64', Brea ↓, Oyarzun D. ↑,
66', Moya C. ↓, Mendez Gonzalez J. E. ↑,
71', Campos Mosqueira F. 🟨,
75', Martinez J. A. 🟨,
76', Briceno M. ↓, Silva S. ↑,
76', Gutierrez Jara J. I. ↓, Gutierrez M. ↑,
83', Mesias Gonzalez I. S. ↓, Lopez F. ↑,
89', 1 - 0, Saez S. ⚽,
90+2', De Los Santos E. ↓, Saldias J. ↑,
90+2', Saez S. ↓, Lobos F. ↑,

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 9 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Unión La Calera won 4.

Recent matches Unión La Calera is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Huachipato is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently Unión La Calera have a series of home games.

Unión La Calera will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Unión La Calera won 10 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 30:32 (average 1.5:1.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Unión La Calera won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 11:19 (average 1.1:1.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Unión La Calera
Chilean Primera Division
02.03.25	Unión La Calera - OHiggins	2:2 ✺
23.02.25	Universidad de Chile - Unión La Calera	1:0 ✺
17.02.25	Unión La Calera - Unión Española	4:0 ✺
Chilean Cup
10.02.25	Unión La Calera - Universidad Católica	2:2 ✺
31.01.25	Unión La Calera - Everton de Viña	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 TLWTW
- CD Huachipato
Chilean Primera Division
02.03.25	Huachipato - Colo-Colo	2:1 ✺
23.02.25	Huachipato - Everton de Viña	4:0 ✺
15.02.25	OHiggins - Huachipato	0:0 ✺
Chilean Cup
09.02.25	OHiggins - Huachipato	0:0 ✺
02.02.25	Huachipato - Rangers de Talca	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.1 WWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Primera Division
28.07.24	Unión La Calera - Huachipato	2:1
25.02.24	Huachipato - Unión La Calera	0:1
06.10.23	Unión La Calera - Huachipato	2:4
22.04.23	Huachipato - Unión La Calera	2:3
08.08.22	Huachipato - Unión La Calera	3:4
12.03.22	Unión La Calera - Huachipato	1:0
07.11.21	Unión La Calera - Huachipato	0:2

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