The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Unión La Calera 34.1%
Draw 29.3%
OHiggins 36.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
40.7%
29.2%
30.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42%
30.1%
29.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Unión La Calera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Unión La Calera's form might have worsened.
OHiggins has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting OHiggins's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unión La Calera than the current prediction. (+7.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Unión La Calera, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for OHiggins than the current prediction. (-7.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for OHiggins, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
37.5%
25%
37.5%
Unión La Calera - OHiggins Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Unión La Calera will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). OHiggins will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%). Confidence interval (95%) for Unión La Calera: 4% – 71%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH 0 - Unión La Calera (1.99) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Unión La Calera (votes: 1 - 50%). OHiggins (votes: 1 - 50%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Avellaneda N. (G) 25. Diaz C. 6. Caseres R. 27. Gutierrez D. 4. Gutierrez C. 8. Leiva Y. 11. Saez S. (C) 5. Moya C. 10. Mendez K. 9. Pozzo F. 17. Hiriart M.
31. Carabali O. (G) 3. Faundez F. 22. Robledo A. (C) 33. Brizuela M. 6. Pavez L. 8. Felipe Ogaz 11. Leiva J. 24. Gonzalez F. 30. Tapia J. 7. Martin Sarrafiore 9. Castillo A.
Substitutes
21. Argandona B. 19. Campos M. 18. Encinas A. 12. Espinoza N. (G) 7. Oyarzo Munoz B. 3. Palma N. 2. Saldias J. 29. Soto J. 14. Villanueva C.
16. Calderon E. 20. Diaz L. 21. Garrido N. 26. Godoy R. 1. Pena Jorge (G) 5. Pinto G. 15. Rojas B. 32. Vecino T. 29. Yanez B.
Coaches
Cicotello M.
Bovaglio L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
1', 0 - 1, Martin Sarrafiore ⚽, Tapia J. (A),
5', Moya C. 🟨,
23', 0 - 2, Martin Sarrafiore ⚽,
24', Leiva Y. 🟨,
42', Martin Sarrafiore 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
46', Diaz C. ↓, Saldias J. ↑,
46', Hiriart M. ↓, Oyarzo Munoz B. ↑,
56', 0 - 3, Felipe Ogaz ⚽,
60', Castillo A. 🟨,
66', Gonzalez F. ↓, Yanez B. ↑,
66', Castillo A. ↓, Vecino T. ↑,
70', Martin Sarrafiore ↓, Godoy R. ↑,
70', Leiva Y. ↓, Soto J. ↑,
73', Mendez K. 🟨,
75', Carabali O. 🟨,
79', 1 - 3, Saez S. ⚽,
81', Tapia J. ↓, Calderon E. ↑,
82', Gutierrez C. ↓, Campos M. ↑,
85', 2 - 3, Saez S. (Penalty Awarded),
90+1', Pavez L. 🟨,
90+6', Cicotello M. 🟥,
90+7', 3 - 3, Campos M. ⚽, Saez S. (A),
Preview
Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 9 and 12).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Unión La Calera won 1.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
Unión La Calera may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Unión La Calera won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 25:26. (average 1.3:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Unión La Calera won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:9. (average 1.4:0.9).