Match Info

Copa Chile - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 23 September 2026, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Municipal Nicolás Chahuán (La Calera)


	Unión La Calera		Universidad Católica

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.1	2	Watch
	3.10	3.10	2.05
	3.3	3.25	2.02	Watch
	3.72	3.29	2.01
	3.41	3.28	2.12
	3.35	3.1	2.11
	3.44	3.28	2.11	Watch
	3.25	3.2	2.01
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.35 ↓ (3.7)	3.2 ↓ (3.23)	2.05 ↑ (1.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Unión La Calera
27.2%

Draw
28.5%

Universidad Católica
44.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.2%

27.7%

48%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.8%

27.2%

48.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Unión La Calera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Universidad Católica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unión La Calera than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universidad Católica than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Unión La Calera - Universidad Católica Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Uni Católica will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Avellaneda N. (G) 25. Diaz C. 15. Salomoni J. 27. Gutierrez D. 4. Gutierrez C. 5. Moya C. 23. Perez R. 17. Hiriart M. 11. Saez S. (C) 7. Oyarzo Munoz B. 32. Ferreyra B.	1. Bernedo V. (G) 6. Arancibia S. 5. Farias A. 21. Garcia A. 15. Cuevas C. 8. Zuqui F. 20. Valencia J. 10. Palavecino M. 22. Gomez M. 25. Corral D. 9. Zampedri F. (C)
Substitutes
2. Andia Leon Y. W. 19. Campos M. 20. Cruz J. 12. Espinoza N. (G) 30. Fernandez M. 6. Lavin V. 8. Leiva Y. 21. Torrente V. 13. Valero P.	13. Canales A. 47. Contreras M. 2. Gonzalez D. 50. langenbach M. 39. L’Huillier N. 4. Perez I. 42. Pino N. 12. Valdes F. (G) 49. Vasco L.
Coaches
Armijo J.	Garnero D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
45+1', Perez R. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
47', Zampedri F. 🟨,
51', Ferreyra B. 🟨,
61', Gutierrez D. 🟨,
64', 0 - 1, Gomez M. ⚽,
66', Oyarzo Munoz B. ↓, Cruz J. ↑,
67', Farias A. 🟨,
76', Zuqui F. ↓, Canales A. ↑,
76', Farias A. ↓, Gonzalez D. ↑,
76', Corral D. ↓, Vasco L. ↑,
79', 1 - 1, Salomoni J. ⚽, Hiriart M. (A),
79', Ferreyra B. ↓, Campos M. ↑,
85', Moya C. ↓, Andia Leon Y. W. ↑,
85', Hiriart M. ↓, Valero P. ↑,
85', Saez S. ↓, Fernandez M. ↑,
89', Cruz J. 🟨,

Preview

First leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Unión La Calera won 2.

Unión La Calera is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Uni Católica is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Uni Católica holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Unión La Calera has recorded 5 wins, 7 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 17:28 (averaging 0.9:1.4 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Unión La Calera against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses, with 12:12 goals (averaging 1.2:1.2 per game).

Last Results with these Odds

Unión La Calera - the odds 3.7 are the expected chance of winning is 24.23%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Unión La Calera
Chilean Primera Division
14.09.26	Unión La Calera - Deportes Limache	1:0 ✺
06.09.26	OHiggins - Unión La Calera	2:1 ✺
31.08.26	Unión La Calera - Deportes La Serena	0:1 ✺
21.08.26	Audax Italiano - Unión La Calera	0:0 ✺
16.08.26	Ñublense - Unión La Calera	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WLLTL
- Universidad Católica
Chilean Primera Division
12.09.26	Palestino - Universidad Católica	2:3 ✺
05.09.26	Everton de Viña - Universidad Católica	0:1 ✺
31.08.26	Universidad Católica - OHiggins	3:2 ✺
26.08.26	Coquimbo Unido - Universidad Católica	1:2 ✺
22.08.26	Universidad Católica - Ñublense	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Primera Division
20.04.26	Universidad Católica - Unión La Calera	1:2
06.12.25	Universidad Católica - Unión La Calera	2:1
20.06.25	Unión La Calera - Universidad Católica	1:1
Chilean Cup
21.03.25	Universidad Católica - Unión La Calera	0:1
10.02.25	Unión La Calera - Universidad Católica	2:2
Chilean Primera Division
20.07.24	Universidad Católica - Unión La Calera	2:0
Copa Sudamericana
09.05.24	Universidad Católica - Unión La Calera	4:0

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