Match Info

Liga de Primera - Round 21

Date: 31 August 2026, Monday

Location: Claro Arena (Santiago de Chile)

Referee: Lara J. (Chi)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Universidad Católica		OHiggins

	1	X	2
	1.71	3.6	4.1	Watch
	1.73	3.70	4.40
	1.68	3.45	4.65	Watch
	1.85	3.78	4.49
	1.81	3.64	4.21
	1.78	3.75	4.45
	1.8	3.78	4.53	Watch
	1.78	3.5	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↓ (1.81)	3.65 ↑ (3.55)	4.35 ↑ (3.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Universidad Católica
52.9%

Draw
25.6%

OHiggins
21.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.9%

26%

23.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53%

25%

22.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Universidad Católica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

OHiggins has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universidad Católica than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for OHiggins than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	0%	28.6%

Universidad Católica - OHiggins Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Uni Católica will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). OHiggins will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bernedo V. (G) 6. Arancibia S. 19. Ampuero B. 21. Garcia A. 3. Mena E. 20. Valencia J. 11. Montes C. 13. Canales A. 14. Martinez J. A. 25. Corral D. 9. Zampedri F. (C)	31. Carabali O. (G) 2. Morales C. 22. Robledo A. (C) 21. Garrido N. 6. Pavez L. 8. Felipe Ogaz 11. Leiva J. 25. Schor I. 7. Toloza S. 28. Bou W. 9. Castillo A.
Substitutes
28. Cerezo B. 5. Farias A. 7. Giani J. 22. Gomez M. 2. Gonzalez D. 39. L’Huillier N. 10. Palavecino M. 43. Perez A. 12. Valdes F. (G)	17. Aviles T. 20. Diaz L. 26. Godoy R. 14. Maturana M. 27. Movillo J. 1. Pena Jorge (G) 15. Rojas B. 30. Tapia J. 32. Vecino T.
Coaches
Garnero D.	Bovaglio L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
13', 0 - 1, Morales C. ⚽, Toloza S. (A),
16', Martinez J. A. 🟨,
26', 1 - 1, Zampedri F. ⚽,
38', Robledo A. 🟨,
40', Garrido N. 🟨,
40', 2 - 1, Zampedri F. (Penalty Awarded),
41', Bou W. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
59', Montes C. ↓, Giani J. ↑,
59', Corral D. ↓, Palavecino M. ↑,
67', Schor I. ↓, Vecino T. ↑,
68', Arancibia S. 🟨,
70', 2 - 2, Castillo A. ⚽, Toloza S. (A),
71', Toloza S. 🟨,
75', Toloza S. ↓, Godoy R. ↑,
77', Canales A. ↓, Gomez M. ↑,
87', 3 - 2, Gomez M. ⚽, Giani J. (A),
88', Martinez J. A. ↓, Gonzalez D. ↑,
88', Arancibia S. ↓, Farias A. ↑,
88', Felipe Ogaz ↓, Aviles T. ↑,
88', Leiva J. ↓, Maturana M. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Uni Católica won 2.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Uni Católica may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Uni Católica is the team to beat.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Uni Católica won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 29:24. (average 1.5:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Uni Católica won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:11. (average 1.9:1.2).

Outrights of Chilean Primera Division for now

U. Catolica: 9.15%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	U. Catolica	23	13	3	7	50:33	17	42
13	O'Higgins	24	8	3	13	28:38	-10	27

Last Results with these Odds

Universidad Católica - the odds 1.81 are the expected chance of winning is 50.93%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Universidad Católica
Chilean Primera Division
26.08.26	Coquimbo Unido - Universidad Católica	1:2 ✺
22.08.26	Universidad Católica - Ñublense	1:2 ✺
Copa Libertadores
18.08.26	Universidad Católica - Estudiantes La Plata	0:3 ✺
11.08.26	Estudiantes La Plata - Universidad Católica	1:1 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
07.08.26	Universidad Católica - Cobresal	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WLLTW
- OHiggins
Chilean Cup
26.08.26	Deportes Recoleta - OHiggins	1:3 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
23.08.26	OHiggins - Palestino	0:1 ✺
16.08.26	Colo-Colo - OHiggins	2:2 ✺
09.08.26	OHiggins - Deportes Limache	1:3 ✺
02.08.26	Deportes La Serena - OHiggins	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 WLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Primera Division
07.03.26	OHiggins - Universidad Católica	1:0
02.11.25	Universidad Católica - OHiggins	0:2
17.05.25	OHiggins - Universidad Católica	2:0
06.10.24	OHiggins - Universidad Católica	0:2
11.05.24	Universidad Católica - OHiggins	3:2
07.10.23	OHiggins - Universidad Católica	0:3
22.04.23	Universidad Católica - OHiggins	0:1

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