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Current Win Probability
Palestino 29.9%
Draw 27%
Universidad Católica 43.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
34.3%
27.5%
38.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
34.3%
27.5%
38.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Palestino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)
Universidad Católica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Universidad Católica's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Palestino than the current prediction. (+4.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universidad Católica than the current prediction. (-5.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Universidad Católica, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
33.3%
66.7%
Palestino - Universidad Católica Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Uni Católica will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
25. Perez Kirby S. A. (G) 7. Carrasco B. (C) 4. Ceza Gavilan A. A. 3. Roco E. 28. Zuniga D. 17. Eggel M. 5. Glaby D. 18. Gallegos S. 27. Munder C. 14. Abrigo J. 9. Fernandez R.
1. Bernedo V. (G) 6. Arancibia S. 19. Ampuero B. 21. Garcia A. 15. Cuevas C. 20. Valencia J. 25. Corral D. 10. Palavecino M. 8. Zuqui F. 7. Giani J. 9. Zampedri F. (C)
Substitutes
30. Alegria I. 21. Araya M. 13. Gomez A. 8. Meza N. 15. Montes Romero F. T. 31. Ruz G. 1. Salas S. (G) 24. Salgado D. 20. Tapia Paez G.
13. Canales A. 28. Cerezo B. 5. Farias A. 22. Gomez M. 39. L’Huillier N. 14. Martinez J. A. 43. Perez A. 42. Pino N. 12. Valdes F. (G)
Coaches
Farre G.
Garnero D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 2)
2', 0 - 1, Zampedri F. ⚽, Palavecino M. (A),
22', 0 - 2, Corral D. ⚽, Giani J. (A),
29', 1 - 2, Roco E. ⚽, Abrigo J. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Eggel M. ↓, Alegria I. ↑,
47', Zuqui F. 🟨,
53', Cuevas C. 🟨,
55', Abrigo J. 🟨,
57', 2 - 2, Abrigo J. ⚽, Munder C. (A),
61', Zuqui F. ↓, Farias A. ↑,
62', Corral D. ↓, Gomez M. ↑,
73', 2 - 3, Zampedri F. (Penalty Awarded),
75', Fernandez R. ↓, Montes Romero F. T. ↑,
75', Gallegos S. ↓, Tapia Paez G. ↑,
82', Palavecino M. ↓, Martinez J. A. ↑,
82', Arancibia S. ↓, Cerezo B. ↑,
87', Martinez J. A. 🟨,
90+2', Ceza Gavilan A. A. ↓, Gomez A. ↑,
90+2', Zampedri F. ↓, L’Huillier N. ↑,
90+8', L’Huillier N. 🟨,
90+9', Munder C. 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Palestino won 1.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
Uni Católica may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Palestino won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 28:43. (average 1.4:2.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Palestino won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:13. (average 1.6:1.4).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
2
U. Catolica
23
13
3
7
50:33
17
42
5
Palestino
23
11
3
9
36:33
3
36
Last Results with these Odds
Palestino - the odds 2.68 are the expected chance of winning is 34.34%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.
Universidad Católica - the odds 2.41 are the expected chance of winning is 38.13%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.
Usa
Watch
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Perez Kirby S. A. (G) 
Eggel M. 
Gallegos S. 
Valencia J. 
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