Match Info

Date: 24 October 2021, Sunday


	Unión Magdalena		Valledupar

	1	X	2
	1.42	4	6.75
	1.43	3.9	6.5
	1.39	4	7
	1.4	4.59	8.32
	1.4	4	7
	1.43	4.15	7.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↓ (2.01)	4.11 ↑ (3.13)	7.11 ↑ (3.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Unión Magdalena
64.8%

Draw
22.3%

Valledupar
12.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.1%

29.6%

24.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.9%

22.8%

18.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Unión Magdalena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Unión Magdalena's performance.

Valledupar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Valledupar might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unión Magdalena than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valledupar than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Valledupar could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72.4%	13.8%	13.8%

Unión Magdalena - Valledupar Predictions

Users Predictions: 29 users predict this event. Unión Magdalena will win (votes: 21 - 72.4%). Valledupar will win (votes: 4 - 13.8%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 13.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Unión Magdalena: 56.1% – 88.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Clausura ~ Quadrangular) and 14).

Recent matches Unión Magdalena is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Valledupar is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Unión Magdalena will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 22 head-to-head matches Unión Magdalena won 12 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 38-22.

Including matches at home between the teams Unión Magdalena won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 19-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Unión Magdalena
Colombian Primera B
18.10.21	Orsomarso - Unión Magdalena	1:2 ✺
09.10.21	Unión Magdalena - Atlético Cali	3:3 ✺
01.10.21	Bogotá - Unión Magdalena	3:1 ✺
26.09.21	Unión Magdalena - Barranquilla	3:0 ✺
21.09.21	Tigres - Unión Magdalena	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WTLWT
- Valledupar FC
Colombian Primera B
19.10.21	Valledupar - Internacional de Palmira	1:2 ✺
09.10.21	Real Santander - Valledupar	1:1 ✺
03.10.21	Valledupar - Fortaleza CEIF	1:1 ✺
27.09.21	Boyacá Chicó - Valledupar	2:0 ✺
11.09.21	Valledupar - Orsomarso	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera B
02.05.21	Valledupar - Unión Magdalena	1:1
29.04.21	Unión Magdalena - Valledupar	0:1
09.04.21	Valledupar - Unión Magdalena	1:2
30.10.20	Unión Magdalena - Valledupar	0:1
04.11.18	Valledupar - Unión Magdalena	0:2
01.11.18	Unión Magdalena - Valledupar	2:0
22.07.18	Unión Magdalena - Valledupar	4:0

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