Match Info

COLOMBIA: PRIMERA B - APERTURA - ROUND 15

Date: 6 May 2023, Saturday


	Valledupar		Orsomarso

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.1	4.1
	1.75	3.3	4.5
	1.79	3.49	4.94
	1.78	3.1	4.5
	1.77	3.35	4.5	Watch
	1.81	3.2	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↓ (1.83)	3.26 ↓ (3.29)	4.46 ↓ (4.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Valledupar
51.3%

Draw
28.1%

Orsomarso
20.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.1%

28.4%

20.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.3%

31.3%

18.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valledupar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

The chances for Orsomarso have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valledupar than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orsomarso than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Valledupar - Orsomarso Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: ) and 11).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Valledupar won 2.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Orsomarso could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Valledupar is a favorite.

Last 15 head-to-head matches Valledupar won 6 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 19-16.

Including matches at home between the teams Valledupar won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 14-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Valledupar FC
Colombian Primera B
23.04.23	Valledupar - Leones	5:3 ✺
20.04.23	Fortaleza CEIF - Valledupar	5:1 ✺
16.04.23	Valledupar - Bogotá	0:2 ✺
10.04.23	Patriotas - Valledupar	0:0 ✺
02.04.23	Valledupar - Deportes Quindío	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WLLTT
- Orsomarso SC
Colombian Copa
02.05.23	Alianza Valledupar - Orsomarso	3:1 ✺
Colombian Primera B
24.04.23	Orsomarso - Deportes Quindío	1:0 ✺
19.04.23	Bogotá - Orsomarso	3:0 ✺
15.04.23	Orsomarso - Patriotas	0:1 ✺
09.04.23	Real Santander - Orsomarso	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera B
23.07.22	Orsomarso - Valledupar	1:1
20.02.22	Valledupar - Orsomarso	2:0
11.09.21	Valledupar - Orsomarso	1:2
Colombian Copa
17.03.21	Valledupar - Orsomarso	1:0
10.03.21	Orsomarso - Valledupar	0:0
Colombian Primera B
23.01.21	Valledupar - Orsomarso	3:4
09.02.20	Orsomarso - Valledupar	0:0

Valledupar - Orsomarso: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide