Match Info

COLOMBIA: PRIMERA B - APERTURA - ROUND 16

Date: 13 May 2023, Saturday


	Real Santander		Valledupar

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.7	3.8
	1.8	3.4	4.5
	1.76	3.84	4.59
	1.7	3.5	4.2
	1.73	3.8	4.1
	1.74	3.75	3.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↓ (1.83)	3.67 ↑ (3.2)	4.17 ↓ (4.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Santander
52.9%

Draw
25.1%

Valledupar
22%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

28.6%

21.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.7%

30.2%

20.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Santander has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Valledupar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Santander than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valledupar than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Real Santander - Valledupar Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Real Santander will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Valledupar will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 9 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Real Santander won 1.

Real Santander is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Valledupar is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Valledupar could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Real Santander is a favorite.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Real Santander won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 12-16.

Including matches at home between the teams Real Santander won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Santander
Colombian Primera B
29.04.23	Barranquilla - Real Santander	1:0 ✺
23.04.23	Cúcuta Deportivo - Real Santander	2:0 ✺
19.04.23	Real Santander - Llaneros SA	0:0 ✺
14.04.23	Tigres - Real Santander	0:1 ✺
09.04.23	Real Santander - Orsomarso	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LLTWL
- Valledupar FC
Colombian Primera B
06.05.23	Valledupar - Orsomarso	3:2 ✺
23.04.23	Valledupar - Leones	5:3 ✺
20.04.23	Fortaleza CEIF - Valledupar	5:1 ✺
16.04.23	Valledupar - Bogotá	0:2 ✺
10.04.23	Patriotas - Valledupar	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera B
07.09.22	Real Santander - Valledupar	1:0
23.01.22	Valledupar - Real Santander	1:0
09.10.21	Real Santander - Valledupar	1:1
13.08.18	Real Santander - Valledupar	1:2
03.03.18	Valledupar - Real Santander	1:0
27.08.17	Real Santander - Valledupar	0:0
05.04.17	Valledupar - Real Santander	0:1

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