Match Info

CHILE: Primera B - Round 24

Date: 1 September 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio Municipal de San Felipe (San Felipe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Chile	TNT Sports Go


	Unión San Felipe		Barnechea

	1	X	2
	2.95	3.25	2.1
	3	3.4	2.2
	3.22	3.32	2.13
	2.97	3.54	2.24	Watch
	2.9	3.3	2.15
	2.95	3.38	2.25
	3	3.4	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3 ↓ (3.99)	3.37 ↓ (3.64)	2.18 ↑ (1.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Unión San Felipe
30.6%

Draw
27.3%

Barnechea
42.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.3%

25.5%

51.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.1%

25.3%

51.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Unión San Felipe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Unión San Felipe's performance.

Barnechea has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Barnechea might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unión San Felipe than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Unión San Felipe that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barnechea than the current prediction. (+9.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Barnechea could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	25%	75%

Unión San Felipe - Barnechea Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Barnechea will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
36. Garces P. (G) 35. Monteseirin F. 40. Marin Y. 41. Salinas F. 5. Leon A. 14. Quiroz F. 30. Vasquez Quilodran I. 31. Quinones A. 7. Sandoval M. 22. Jara Gonzalez G. A. (C) 38. Basan L.	17. Campestrini C. (G) 3. Ortiz A. 4. Bravo D. 5. Valdez B. 9. Gallegos Panozzo M. 10. Sagredo B. 15. Toledo A. 19. Llanten M. 20. Tapia Paez G. 14. Salgado H. 16. Garcia E.
Substitutes
24. Alvarez V. 10. Gomez F. 18. Herrera A. 13. Meza I. 2. Muller I. 42. Parada I. 1. Salazar A. (G)	6. Alucema G. 31. Da Rosa F. 21. Pardo C. 7. Quiroga L. 12. Salas S. (G) 25. Salomon C. 18. Ubal B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
44', 0 - 1, Gallegos Panozzo M. ⚽,
45+1', Salinas F. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
55', Garces P. 🟨,
56', 0 - 2, Tapia Paez G. ⚽,
59', Quinones A. ↓, Gomez F. ↑,
70', Basan L. ↓, Parada I. ↑,
70', Vasquez Quilodran I. ↓, Alvarez V. ↑,
77', Gallegos Panozzo M. ↓, Quiroga L. ↑,
80', Salgado H. ↓, Pardo C. ↑,
80', Sagredo B. ↓, Da Rosa F. ↑,
83', Quiroz F. 🟨,
90+2', Quiroga L. 🟨,
90+4', 1 - 2, Jara Gonzalez G. A. ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Unión San Felipe
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
24.08.24	Deportes Temuco - Unión San Felipe	4:0 ✺
18.08.24	Unión San Felipe - Deportes Antofagasta	1:1 ✺
12.08.24	Deportes Limache - Unión San Felipe	1:2 ✺
03.08.24	Unión San Felipe - Deportes Santa Cruz	1:1 ✺
31.07.24	Santiago Wanderers - Unión San Felipe	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 LTWTL
- Barnechea
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
26.08.24	Barnechea - Santiago Wanderers	2:1 ✺
19.08.24	San Luis de Quillota - Barnechea	0:6 ✺
11.08.24	Barnechea - Santiago Morning	2:0 ✺
22.07.24	Curicó Unido - Barnechea	0:1 ✺
16.07.24	Barnechea - Deportes Santa Cruz	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Liga de Ascenso
22.04.24	Barnechea - Unión San Felipe	1:0
08.07.23	Unión San Felipe - Barnechea	0:0
21.02.23	Barnechea - Unión San Felipe	2:0
15.08.22	Unión San Felipe - Barnechea	2:1
04.04.22	Barnechea - Unión San Felipe	0:1
10.10.21	Barnechea - Unión San Felipe	2:4
06.06.21	Unión San Felipe - Barnechea	2:4

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