The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
San Luis de Quillota 26.5%
Draw 28.1%
Barnechea 45.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
26.7%
27.4%
45.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
25.6%
26.3%
47.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
San Luis de Quillota has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
Barnechea has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Luis de Quillota than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barnechea than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
San Luis de Quillota - Barnechea Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Velazco M. (G) 3. Moiraghi N. (C) 16. Carrasco Reyes M. J. 23. Estay D. 25. Cubillos G. 5. Pavez Contreras L. 14. Larrain M. 21. Diaz A. 9. Caballero M. 11. Carreno M. 32. Figueroa M.
17. Campestrini C. (G) 3. Ortiz A. 4. Bravo D. 18. Ubal B. 15. Toledo A. 10. Sagredo B. (C) 19. Llanten M. 22. Romo J. 9. Gallegos Panozzo M. 14. Salgado H. 20. Tapia Paez G.
Substitutes
22. Bustos G. 10. Carmona F. 29. Pereyra F. 13. Retamal D. (G) 19. Salazar Y. 26. Suazo H. 31. Tello Mery G.
6. Alucema G. 31. Da Rosa F. 16. Garcia E. 21. Pardo C. 12. Salas S. (G) 25. Salomon C. 5. Valdez B.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 5)
11', Llanten M. 🟨,
16', 0 - 1, Sagredo B. ⚽,
20', Caballero M. 🟨,
21', 0 - 2, Salgado H. ⚽,
30', Carrasco Reyes M. J. ↓, Bustos G. ↑,
30', Figueroa M. ↓, Suazo H. ↑,
34', Suazo H. 🟨,
35', 0 - 3, Gallegos Panozzo M. ⚽,
36', 0 - 4, Llanten M. ⚽,
45+1', 0 - 5, Tapia Paez G. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Llanten M. ↓, Valdez B. ↑,
46', Sagredo B. ↓, Garcia E. ↑,
46', Carreno M. ↓, Pereyra F. ↑,
46', Estay D. ↓, Salazar Y. ↑,
65', Diaz A. 🟨,
70', 0 - 6, Tapia Paez G. ⚽,
72', Salgado H. ↓, Pardo C. ↑,
72', Romo J. ↓, Alucema G. ↑,
73', Araya J. ↓, Tello Mery G. ↑,
84', Campestrini C. 🟨,
85', 🟨,
Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Relegation ~ Play Offs: )).
Last 5 head-to-head matches San Luis won 2.
San Luis is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Barnechea is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
San Luis could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Barnechea will have a mini benefit in this match.
Last 7 head-to-head matches San Luis won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-8.
Including matches at home between the teams San Luis won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-3.
Chile
Watch
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Velazco M. (G) 
Carrasco Reyes M. J. 
Caballero M. 
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