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Current Win Probability
Santiago Wanderers 54.2%
Draw 24.9%
Unión San Felipe 20.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
56.6%
24.1%
19.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
59.7%
25.4%
18.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Santiago Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
Unión San Felipe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santiago Wanderers than the current prediction. (+5.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Santiago Wanderers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unión San Felipe than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
Santiago Wanderers - Unión San Felipe Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Santiago Wanderers will win (votes: 4 - 100%).
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Santiago Wanderers will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
36. Martinez B. (G) 7. Herrera A. 31. Valenzuela C. 16. Navarro P. 15. Villarroel M. 5. Navarro L. 38. Portilla D. 8. Silva J. 23. Flores I. 29. Silva C. 37. San Martin D.
1. Fernandez A. (G) 19. Serrano K. 4. Ramirez M. 34. Suarez C. (C) 29. Martinez L. 5. Bravo D. 27. Garcia L. 10. Jara Gonzalez G. A. 32. Gonzalez B. 20. Fontana A. 33. Lobos F.
Substitutes
20. Avendano L. 22. Javier Parraguez 10. Luna J. 14. Ponce C. 25. Terrazas F. (G) 32. Vargas V. 27. Vera V.
9. Aravena B. 12. Canete L. (G) 16. Fuentes D. 24. Galleguillos M. 6. Leon A. 18. Munoz P. 35. Palacios R. 2. Perales V. 14. Riveros B.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
3', Villarroel M. 🟨,
25', 1 - 0, Flores I. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Riveros B. ↓, Galleguillos M. ↑,
46', Gonzalez B. ↓, Aravena B. ↑,
60', Flores I. ↓, Ponce C. ↑,
60', Silva J. ↓, Vargas V. ↑,
66', Herrera A. ↓, Avendano L. ↑,
76', Silva C. ↓, Javier Parraguez ↑,
76', San Martin D. ↓, Luna J. ↑,
79', Garcia L. 🟨,
82', Garcia L. ↓, Leon A. ↑,
86', 2 - 0, Navarro L. ⚽,
87', Bravo D. ↓, Fuentes D. ↑,
90', Valenzuela C. 🟨,
Preview
A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Primera (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 13).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Santiago Wanderers won 1.
Santiago Wanderers is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Unión San Felipe's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
In this match, Santiago Wanderers is the team to beat.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Santiago Wanderers won 12 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 31:22. (average 1.6:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Santiago Wanderers won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:10. (average 1.6:1.1).
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Martinez B. (G) 
Navarro L. 
Palacios R. 
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