The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Unión San Felipe 33.2%
Draw 28.6%
Unión La Calera 38.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
33.2%
27.8%
39.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33.9%
28.4%
38.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for Unión San Felipe have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
Unión La Calera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unión San Felipe than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
The ML Model estimate for Unión La Calera aligns with the current prediction.
Unión San Felipe - Unión La Calera Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Fernandez A. (G) 4. Ramirez M. 29. Martinez L. 34. Suarez C. (C) 5. Bravo D. 27. Garcia L. 33. Gonzalez B. 9. Aravena B. 10. Jara Gonzalez G. A. 32. Lobos F. 20. Fontana A.
12. Espinoza N. (G) 26. Maturana M. 3. Palma N. 6. Caseres R. 2. Saldias J. 30. Fernandez M. 8. Leiva Y. 24. Requena J. 20. Cruz J. 10. Mendez K. (C) 17. Hiriart M.
Substitutes
12. Canete L. (G) 17. Diaz R. 16. Fuentes D. 24. Galleguillos M. 18. Munoz P. 2. Perales V. 14. Riveros B. 25. Sanchez V. 19. Serrano K.
21. Argandona B. 1. Avellaneda N. (G) 19. Campos M. 25. Diaz C. 18. Encinas A. 27. Gutierrez D. 5. Moya C. 9. Pozzo F. 29. Soto J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
13', Palma N. 🟨,
35', Requena J. 🟨,
36', Mendez K. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
50', Fontana A. 🟨,
61', Lobos F. ↓, Riveros B. ↑,
66', Mendez K. ↓, Encinas A. ↑,
66', Requena J. ↓, Diaz C. ↑,
71', Cruz J. ↓, Pozzo F. ↑,
76', Aravena B. ↓, Galleguillos M. ↑,
76', Fontana A. ↓, Munoz P. ↑,
80', Andia Leon Y. W. ↓, Moya C. ↑,
80', Fernandez M. ↓, Campos M. ↑,
88', 🟨,
90+1', Gonzalez B. ↓, Serrano K. ↑,
90+1', Bravo D. ↓, Fuentes D. ↑,
90+2', 0 - 1, Pozzo F. ⚽,
90+6', 1 - 1, Galleguillos M. ⚽,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Unión San Felipe won 3.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
Unión La Calera may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Unión San Felipe has had a series of away games.
Recently, Unión La Calera has had a series of home games.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Unión San Felipe won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 10:5. (average 1.7:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Unión San Felipe won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).
Last Results with these Odds
Unión La Calera - the odds 2.3 are the expected chance of winning is 39.07%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.
Chile
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Fernandez A. (G) 
Fontana A. 
Mendez K. (C) 
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