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Current Win Probability
Unión Española 52.7%
Draw 25%
Unión San Felipe 22.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
51.5%
25.4%
23.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
53.3%
24.5%
22.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Unión Española has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
Unión San Felipe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unión Española than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
The ML Model estimate for Unión San Felipe aligns with the current prediction.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
Unión Española - Unión San Felipe Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Unión Española (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Unión Española will win
(13 of 13 users predict this - 100%). Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Fierro J. (G) 2. Contreras K. 21. Pereira S. 26. Roco B. 32. Molina L. 4. Celis M. 17. Massri F. (C) 23. Ojeda U. 25. Ovando T. 9. Vilches Araneda A. 20. Wassenne M.
1. Fernandez A. (G) 4. Ramirez M. 2. Perales V. 19. Serrano K. 5. Bravo D. 27. Garcia L. (C) 8. Palmieri N. 24. Galleguillos M. 9. Aravena B. 18. Munoz P. 14. Riveros B.
Substitutes
3. Alarcon R. 10. Aranguiz P. 33. Jaramillo C. 5. Machado W. 24. Norambuena G. 19. Tolosa T. 12. Uribe E. (G)
12. Canete L. (G) 17. Diaz Orostegui R. 16. Fuentes D. 7. Henriquez O. 30. Martel P. 29. Martinez L. 11. Mera F.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
9', Riveros B. (Penalty Awarded),
21', 1 - 0, Vilches Araneda A. ⚽,
32', 1 - 1, Garcia L. ⚽,
38', Palmieri N. 🟨,
43', Roco B. ↓, Alarcon R. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Ovando T. ↓, Aranguiz P. ↑,
46', Celis M. ↓, Machado W. ↑,
46', Palmieri N. ↓, Fuentes D. ↑,
57', Fernandez A. 🟨,
62', Machado W. 🟨,
69', Galleguillos M. ↓, Diaz Orostegui R. ↑,
78', Massri F. ↓, Jaramillo C. ↑,
78', Riveros B. ↓, Henriquez O. ↑,
78', Bravo D. ↓, Mera F. ↑,
82', Ramirez M. 🟨,
86', Ramirez M. ↓, Martinez L. ↑,
86', Aravena B. ↓, Martel P. ↑,
90+2', 1 - 2, Munoz P. (Penalty Awarded),
90+5', 2 - 2, Aranguiz P. (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 11 and 13)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Unión Española won 3.
Unión Española is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Unión San Felipe has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Unión Española may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Unión Española is a strong favorite.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Unión Española won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:7. (average 1.4:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Unión Española won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:5. (average 1.8:1.3).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
9
U. Espanola
26
10
6
10
32:34
-2
36
15
San Felipe
26
5
7
14
16:44
-28
22
Last Results with these Odds
Unión San Felipe - the odds 3.9 are the expected chance of winning is 23.11%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.
Chile
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Fierro J. (G) 
Massri F. (C) 
Ojeda U. 
Machado W. 
Martel P. 
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