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Current Win Probability
Unión La Calera 28.5%
Draw 27.7%
Universidad de Chile 43.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
22.6%
26.2%
51.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
21.9%
25.4%
52.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Unión La Calera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Unión La Calera's performance.
Universidad de Chile has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Universidad de Chile might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unión La Calera than the current prediction. (-6.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Unión La Calera that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universidad de Chile than the current prediction. (+9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Universidad de Chile could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
16.7%
16.7%
66.7%
Unión La Calera - Universidad de Chile Predictions
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Unión La Calera will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Universidad de Chile will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
BTTS - yes (1.67) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Avellaneda N. (G) 3. Palma N. 11. Saez S. (C) 17. Hiriart M. 4. Gutierrez C. 19. Campos M. 5. Moya C. 20. Cruz J. 29. Soto J. 27. Gutierrez D. 25. Diaz C.
25. Castellon G. (G) 5. Ramirez N. 8. Poblete Zuniga I. E. 14. Morales M. (C) 6. Fernandez N. 16. Rojas E. 7. Guerrero Pena M. G. 18. Lucero J. 31. Tamayo B. 29. Barrera L. 28. Arce A.
Substitutes
2. Andia Leon Y. W. 21. Argandona B. 12. Espinoza N. (G) 30. Fernandez M. 6. Lavin V. 8. Leiva Y. 26. Maturana M. 7. Oyarzo Munoz B. 9. Pozzo F.
27. Bolano A. 2. Calderon F. 21. Diaz M. 36. Fernandez F. 34. Ramirez V. 26. Riquelme M. 1. Toselli C. (G) 4. Vargas D. 23. Vasquez Gonzalez I. A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
2', Saez S. 🟨,
6', 0 - 1, Arce A. ⚽, Guerrero Pena M. G. (A),
24', Cruz J. 🟨,
32', 1 - 1, Soto J. ⚽, Campos M. (A),
40', 2 - 1, Campos M. ⚽,
45+3', Morales M. 🟨,
45+3', Hiriart M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Hiriart M. ↓, Andia Leon Y. W. ↑,
46', 3 - 1, Saez S. ⚽,
47', Guerrero Pena M. G. 🟨,
56', Rojas E. ↓, Vasquez Gonzalez I. A. ↑,
58', Cruz J. ↓, Leiva Y. ↑,
58', Soto J. ↓, Argandona B. ↑,
60', Tamayo B. 🟨,
69', Palma N. ↓, Lavin V. ↑,
69', Poblete Zuniga I. E. ↓, Ramirez V. ↑,
74', 3 - 2, Vasquez Gonzalez I. A. ⚽,
81', Guerrero Pena M. G. 🟥,
81', Campos M. ↓, Fernandez M. ↑,
85', 3 - 3, Vasquez Gonzalez I. A. ⚽, Lucero J. (A),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Unión La Calera won 2.
Unión La Calera has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Universidad de Chile is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Universidad de Chile may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Universidad de Chile has had a series of home games.
Universidad de Chile will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Unión La Calera won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 24:34. (average 1.2:1.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Unión La Calera won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:19. (average 1.6:1.9).
Chile
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Avellaneda N. (G) 
Palma N. 
Gutierrez C. 
Tamayo B. 
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