Match Info

3. MSFL - Round 28

Date: 17 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadion SK Uničov (Unicov)


	Uničov		Fotbal Třinec

	1	X	2
	3.7	3.6	1.81
	3.85	3.59	1.78
	3.8	3.73	1.8
	3.84	3.66	1.77
	3.7	3.6	1.81
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.78 ↑ (3.07)	3.64 ↑ (3.38)	1.79 ↓ (2.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Uničov
24.1%

Draw
25.1%

Fotbal Třinec
50.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.7%

27%

43.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.2%

26.5%

44.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Uničov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Uničov's form might have worsened.

Fotbal Třinec has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Fotbal Třinec's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Uničov than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Uničov, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fotbal Třinec than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Fotbal Třinec, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Uničov - Fotbal Třinec Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
20. Kral R. (G) 8. Ambrozek J. 12. Cerven A. 5. David J. 7. Hausknecht M. 10. Komenda T. (C) 24. Koutny V. 3. Sanak J. 6. Svoboda J. 9. Vichta J. 11. Vybiral M.	1. Murin R. (G) 9. Bolf J. 13. Brak V. 26. Cienciala L. 27. Dadak L. 25. Dedic R. (C) 5. Ivanovic S. 8. Krakovcik M. 24. Omasta T. 10. Samiec M. 12. Zinhasovic N.
Substitutes
14. Grecmal D. 17. Grygar D. 72. Kvapil J. (G) 18. Michalik S. 15. Suchanek J. 13. Werani V.	22. Adamuska J. (G) 16. Agbo C. 21. Machuca O. 11. Malek M. 18. Szewieczek M. 20. Trcek N. 19. Zajicek A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 5)
2', 0 - 1, Dedic R. (Pen),
8', 0 - 2, Dedic R. ⚽,
11', 0 - 3, Dedic R. ⚽,
21', 1 - 3, Svoboda J. ⚽,
37', Sanak J. 🟨,
39', 1 - 4, Cienciala L. (Pen),
42', 1 - 5, Omasta T. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
55', 2 - 5, Michalik S. ⚽,
70', 3 - 5, Brak V. (Own goal),
90+4', 4 - 5, Ambrozek J. ⚽,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 3 and 2).

In recent matches, Uničov has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Třinec is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Třinec may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Uničov has had a series of away games.

Třinec is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Uničov won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1.7:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Uničov won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SK Uničov
Czech MSFL
10.05.25	Unie Hlubina - Uničov	0:0 ✺
04.05.25	Uničov - Hanácká Slavia Kroměříž	1:1 ✺
30.04.25	Start Brno - Uničov	0:3 ✺
26.04.25	Strání - Uničov	2:0 ✺
18.04.25	Znojmo - Uničov	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 TTWLW
- Fotbal Třinec
Czech MSFL
03.05.25	Uherský Brod - Fotbal Třinec	0:1 ✺
30.04.25	Hodonín - Fotbal Třinec	0:4 ✺
26.04.25	Fotbal Třinec - Blansko	6:0 ✺
20.04.25	Zbrojovka Brno B - Fotbal Třinec	2:1 ✺
12.04.25	Fotbal Třinec - Zlín B	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Czech MSFL
12.10.24	Fotbal Třinec - Uničov	3:2
24.03.24	Uničov - Fotbal Třinec	0:0
19.08.23	Fotbal Třinec - Uničov	1:3

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