The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Werder Bremen 50.7%
Draw 24.6%
Freiburg 24.7%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
56.1%
22.5%
21.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
58.8%
21.5%
20.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Werder Bremen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Werder Bremen's form might have worsened.
Freiburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Werder Bremen than the current prediction. (+8.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Werder Bremen, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Freiburg than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
Werder Bremen - Freiburg Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Fischer V. (G) 15. Weiss M. 5. Ulbrich M. (C) 27. Gutmann S. 3. Zieniewicz W. 23. Hipp J. 28. Wirtz J. 7. Purtscheller L. 13. Vanzeir L. 11. Jaron I. 9. Desic M.
38. Reimann A. (G) 2. Karl L. (C) 6. Ojukwu N. 18. Maas M. 22. Kolb L. 8. Bienz A. 15. Schneider M. 30. Acikgoz I. 17. Arfaoui A. 14. Brunold C. 23. Birkholz L. E.
Substitutes
31. Dhont E. 16. Farwick T. (G) 6. Gmeineder M. 10. Mahmoud T. 14. Muhlemann E. 33. Penner M. 8. Shimada M. 19. Strasser F.
33. Barth L. (G) 34. Ihme P. 35. Jansen L. 13. Scherer N. 9. Seghir S. 25. Simmen W. 29. Vincze B. D. 10. Vobian S.
Coaches
Kromp F.
Konrad M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (3 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, Purtscheller L. ⚽, Desic M. (A),
29', Kolb L. 🟨,
30', 2 - 0, Gutmann S. ⚽,
35', 3 - 0, Jaron I. ⚽, Purtscheller L. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 3)
46', Arfaoui A. ↓, Vobian S. ↑,
49', Gutmann S. 🟨,
51', 3 - 1, Vobian S. ⚽, Brunold C. (A),
54', Wirtz J. 🟨,
55', Hipp J. 🟨,
60', Bienz A. ↓, Seghir S. ↑,
67', Jaron I. ↓, Mahmoud T. ↑,
69', Birkholz L. E. ↓, Vincze B. D. ↑,
77', Purtscheller L. ↓, Shimada M. ↑,
77', Vanzeir L. ↓, Strasser F. ↑,
77', Weiss M. ↓, Dhont E. ↑,
78', Maas M. 🟨,
85', Wirtz J. ↓, Muhlemann E. ↑,
85', 4 - 1, Gutmann S. ⚽, Mahmoud T. (A),
90', 4 - 2, Vobian S. ⚽, Schneider M. (A),
90+1', Brunold C. ↓, Simmen W. ↑,
90+1', Kolb L. ↓, Scherer N. ↑,
90+3', 4 - 3, Seghir S. ⚽, Acikgoz I. (A),
90+4', Dhont E. 🟨,
Preview
Two mid-table squads battle for vital points to solidify their season (ranked 6th and 8th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Werder won 0.
Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.
Werder could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Werder carries the favorite tag into this contest.
In the last 18 head-to-head meetings, Werder has recorded 2 wins, 5 draws, and 11 losses, with a goal aggregate of 14:35 (averaging 0.8:1.9 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Werder against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses, with 5:16 goals (averaging 0.6:1.8 per game).