Match Info

Date: 6 August 2022, Saturday

Location: Stadion An der Alten Försterei (Berlin)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Belgium	Eleven Sports
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Canada	Sportsnet
Croatia	SportKlub
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
France	beIN Sports
Germany	Sky Bundesliga, Sky Sport Bundesliga, Sky Sport Top event
Greece	Nova Sports
Hungary	Arena 4
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport
Poland	Viaplay
Portugal	Eleven Sports
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub, Sport TV
Sweden	Viaplay
Ukraine	Setanta Sports
World	Setanta Sports Eurasia


	Union Berlin		Hertha Berlin

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.6	4.33	Watch
	1.8	3.6	4.5
	1.76	3.75	4.6
	1.82	3.65	4.4
	1.85	3.69	4.72
	1.78	3.6	4.5	Watch
	1.83	3.72	4.55	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↑ (1.79)	3.66 ↓ (3.69)	4.51 ↑ (4.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Union Berlin
52.8%

Draw
26.1%

Hertha Berlin
21.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.9%

25.7%

21.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.9%

25.2%

21%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Union Berlin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Hertha Berlin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Union Berlin than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hertha Berlin than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	9.3%	13%

Union Berlin - Hertha Berlin Predictions

Users Predictions: 54 users predict this event. Union Berlin will win (votes: 42 - 77.8%). Hertha will win (votes: 7 - 13%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 9.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Union Berlin: 66.7% – 88.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Union Berlin has the most likely position - 8 (7.66%), has project points - 46, has currently - 0, has a small chance of relegated (8%), has a chance of qualify for ucl (16%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Hertha has the most likely position - 18 (13.36%), has project points - 36, has currently - 0, has a chance of relegated (28%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (3%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has quality 64, importance 34, match rating 49. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Union Berlin won 3.

Union Berlin in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Hertha is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recently Hertha have a series of guest games.

In this match Union Berlin is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Union Berlin to win the game is with odds 1.77.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Union Berlin won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 15-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Union Berlin won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Union Berlin
German DFB Pokal
01.08.22	Chemnitzer - Union Berlin	1:2 ET ✺
Club Friendly
23.07.22	Union Berlin - Nottingham Forest	1:0 ✺
16.07.22	Union Berlin - Udinese	3:3 ✺
15.07.22	Dynamo České Budějovice - Union Berlin	0:1 ✺
09.07.22	Union Berlin - Bohemians Dublin	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WWTWW
- Hertha Berlin
German DFB Pokal
31.07.22	Eintracht Braunschweig - Hertha Berlin	5:4 penalties ✺
Club Friendly
23.07.22	West Bromwich Albion - Hertha Berlin	2:1 ✺
20.07.22	Nottingham Forest - Hertha Berlin	3:1 ✺
16.07.22	Derby County - Hertha Berlin	1:0 ✺
08.07.22	Energie Cottbus - Hertha Berlin	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
09.04.22	Hertha Berlin - Union Berlin	1:4
German DFB Pokal
19.01.22	Hertha Berlin - Union Berlin	2:3
German Bundesliga
20.11.21	Union Berlin - Hertha Berlin	2:0
04.04.21	Union Berlin - Hertha Berlin	1:1
04.12.20	Hertha Berlin - Union Berlin	3:1
22.05.20	Hertha Berlin - Union Berlin	4:0
02.11.19	Union Berlin - Hertha Berlin	1:0

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