Match Info

Division 3 - Group 1 - Round 22

Date: 3 October 2026, Saturday


	Union Carl Berner		Lokomotiv Oslo

	1	X	2
	1.66	4.20	3.50
	1.60	4.00	3.85
	1.78	4.54	3.03
	1.71	4.97	3.31	Watch
	1.76	4.45	3.00
	1.71	4.36	3.74
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↑ (1.42)	4.42 ↓ (4.5)	3.41 ↓ (4.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Union Carl Berner
53%

Draw
20.4%

Lokomotiv Oslo
26.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.1%

19.6%

18.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.3%

18.6%

17.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Union Carl Berner has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Union Carl Berner's form might have worsened.

Lokomotiv Oslo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lokomotiv Oslo's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Union Carl Berner than the current prediction. (+12.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Union Carl Berner, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lokomotiv Oslo than the current prediction. (-9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lokomotiv Oslo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Union Carl Berner - Lokomotiv Oslo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 1)
19', 1 - 0, Engfeldt-Tomter A. ⚽,
20', 1 - 1, Lokken O. ⚽,
31', 2 - 1, Berge S. ⚽,
45+3', 3 - 1, Emblem-Olsen J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
87', 4 - 1, Rosland E. ⚽,

Preview

A tightly contested fixture between two evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 8th and 9th).

Union Carl Berner has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Performances by Lokomotiv Oslo have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Union Carl Berner may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Union Carl Berner carries the favorite tag into this contest.

Our forecast points to a victory for Union Carl Berner in today's match, at odds of 1.59.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Union Carl Berner has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 8:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Union Carl Berner	22	11	2	9	40:32	8	35
10	Lokomotiv Oslo	22	7	2	13	40:65	-25	23

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Union Carl Berner
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 1
29.09.26	Union Carl Berner - KFUM 2	1:1 ✺
26.09.26	Union Carl Berner - Frigg Oslo	6:2 ✺
19.09.26	Bærum - Union Carl Berner	1:2 ✺
12.09.26	Union Carl Berner - Nordstrand	1:1 ✺
05.09.26	Grei - Union Carl Berner	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 TWWTW
- Lokomotiv Oslo
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 1
26.09.26	Lokomotiv Oslo - Gamle Oslo	4:1 ✺
19.09.26	Nordstrand - Lokomotiv Oslo	5:0 ✺
13.09.26	Lokomotiv Oslo - Bærum	5:2 ✺
07.09.26	KFUM 2 - Lokomotiv Oslo	0:3 ✺
30.08.26	Lokomotiv Oslo - Ullern	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 53 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Division 3 - Group 1
14.05.26	Lokomotiv Oslo - Union Carl Berner	0:8

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