Match Info

Kakkonen Group A

Date: 18 July 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Urheilupuisto N (Heinola) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Usa	09:00	SportsEngine Play


	Union Plaani		Atlantis Helsinki

	1	X	2
	4.20	4.60	1.51
	3.75	4.35	1.60
	4.50	5.03	1.53
	3.86	4.58	1.62	Watch
	4.45	4.55	1.51
	5.03	4.90	1.49
	3.65	4.25	1.56
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.21 ↑ (3.82)	4.61 ↑ (4.53)	1.55 ↓ (1.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.25

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Union Plaani
21.6%

Draw
19.7%

Atlantis Helsinki
58.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

23.9%

20.1%

56%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.7%

19.1%

58.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Union Plaani has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Atlantis Helsinki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Union Plaani than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlantis Helsinki than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Union Plaani - Atlantis Helsinki Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Belabid Y. (G) 44. Afila V. 2. Ala-Kauhaluoma L. 33. Hahl J. (C) 77. Hassan M. 17. Kettunen T. 23. Kimari O. 11. Kuokkanen N. 34. Kurki T. 84. Lahti R. 18. Paakkanen S.	69. Tammi L. (G) 10. Bekhedda M. 11. Haruna B. 9. Ibekwe C. 2. Karttunen O. 24. Nworah D. 27. Nyemb F. 3. Riikonen P. 20. Salau S. 5. Sevcenco V. 15. Sydorenko D.
Substitutes
28. Abdi T. 9. Kivisto N. 14. Kurki V. 19. Kuzniarek T. 15. Serdarevic A. 3. Solonen A.	26. Boulakhras A. 88. El Safa A. A. 21. Eshroukh-Maharzah S. 37. Landu J. 41. Mahammed A. 29. Matsiev I. 22. Munoz A. 28. Sirola Harati P. 35. Tabetando G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 4)
6', Kimari O. 🟨,
13', 0 - 1, Bekhedda M. ⚽,
15', 1 - 1, Kuokkanen N. ⚽,
20', Sevcenco V. ↓, Matsiev I. ↑,
28', Sydorenko D. 🟨,
36', 1 - 2, Karttunen O. ⚽,
37', Matsiev I. 🟨,
43', 1 - 3, Nyemb F. ⚽,
45+2', 1 - 4, Nyemb F. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
46', Matsiev I. ↓, Boulakhras A. ↑,
52', 1 - 5, Nyemb F. ⚽,
61', 2 - 5, Hassan M. ⚽,
62', 3 - 5, Hassan M. ⚽,
63', Lahti R. ↓, Abdi T. ↑,
69', Ibekwe C. ↓, Munoz A. ↑,
69', Karttunen O. ↓, Landu J. ↑,
73', 3 - 6, Nyemb F. ⚽,
74', Kettunen T. ↓, Kuzniarek T. ↑,
74', Kuokkanen N. ↓, Serdarevic A. ↑,
87', Nyemb F. ↓, Mahammed A. ↑,
88', Hassan M. ↓, Kivisto N. ↑,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 in the zone Kakkonen Group A (Losers stage: ) and 7 in the zone Kakkonen Group A (Losers stage: )).

Union Plaani has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Atlantis is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Atlantis may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Atlantis is seen as the favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Union Plaani won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Union Plaani
Finnish Kakkonen Group A
11.07.26	MYPA - Union Plaani	2:0 ✺
04.07.26	Union Plaani - Puistolan Urheilijat	2:1 ✺
27.06.26	Union Plaani - HIFK	0:3 ✺
13.06.26	Lahden Reipas - Union Plaani	4:2 ✺
06.06.26	Union Plaani - HPS	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LWLLL
- Atlantis Helsinki
Finnish Kakkonen Group A
10.07.26	Atlantis Helsinki - Kiffen 08	3:5 ✺
04.07.26	Atlantis Helsinki - PEPO Lappeenranta	5:1 ✺
27.06.26	MYPA - Atlantis Helsinki	1:2 ✺
11.06.26	PPJ Ruoholahti - Atlantis Helsinki	3:3 ✺
06.06.26	Atlantis Helsinki - HIFK	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.1 LWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Kakkonen Group A
08.05.26	Atlantis Helsinki - Union Plaani	5:1

Union Plaani - Atlantis Helsinki