Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 8 - Round 16

Date: 3 January 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Reina Sofia (Salamanca) 🌤️ ...


	Unionistas B		Palencia CA

	1	X	2
	3.85	3	1.92
	4.15	3.11	1.91
	4	2.9	1.95
	4.35	3.02	1.85
	4.2	3	1.88
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.11 ↑ (3.8)	3.01 ↓ (3.3)	1.9 ↑ (1.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Unionistas B
22.1%

Draw
30.2%

Palencia CA
47.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

24%

27.6%

48.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.2%

24.4%

42.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Unionistas B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Palencia CA has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unionistas B than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Unionistas B, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Palencia CA than the current prediction. (-5%)

Unionistas B - Palencia CA Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
90+6', 🟥,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 8 (Play Offs: )).

Both teams are currently in poor form.

In this match, Palencia CA is seen as the favorite.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Palencia CA	8	6	1	1	13:4	9	19
15	Unionistas B	8	1	2	5	7:13	-6	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Unionistas B
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
20.12.25	Villaralbo - Unionistas B	0:0 ✺
13.12.25	Unionistas B - Colegios Diocesanos	1:2 ✺
06.12.25	Mirandés B - Unionistas B	3:1 ✺
23.11.25	Guijuelo - Unionistas B	1:0 ✺
15.11.25	Unionistas B - Leonesa B	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 TLLLT
- Palencia CA
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
20.12.25	Palencia CA - Guijuelo	1:2 ✺
13.12.25	Leonesa B - Palencia CA	2:1 ✺
06.12.25	Palencia CA - Mojados	3:0 ✺
23.11.25	Almazán - Palencia CA	1:1 ✺
16.11.25	Palencia CA - Atlético Palencia	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLWTL

Unionistas B - Palencia CA