Match Info

Date: 21 May 2022, Saturday

Location: Reina Sofia (Salamanca)


	Unionistas de Salamanca		Calahorra

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.6	4.5
	1.65	3.6	4.4
	1.77	3.1	4.4
	1.68	3.75	4
	1.69	3.69	4.91
	1.65	3.75	4.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (2.15)	3.58 ↑ (3.15)	4.5 ↑ (3.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Unionistas de Salamanca
54.3%

Draw
25.5%

Calahorra
20.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.7%

29.1%

28.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.5%

29.6%

27.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Unionistas de Salamanca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Unionistas de Salamanca's performance.

Calahorra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Calahorra might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unionistas de Salamanca than the current prediction. (-10.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Unionistas de Salamanca that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Calahorra than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Calahorra could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Unionistas de Salamanca - Calahorra Predictions

Users Predictions: Unionistas de Salamanca will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 8 and 10).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Unionistas could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Unionistas will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Unionistas won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Unionistas won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Unionistas de Salamanca
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
13.05.22	San Sebastian Reyes - Unionistas de Salamanca	1:2 ✺
07.05.22	Unionistas de Salamanca - Ferrol	0:1 ✺
30.04.22	Tudelano - Unionistas de Salamanca	1:1 ✺
24.04.22	Unionistas de Salamanca - Real Unión de Irun	2:1 ✺
17.04.22	Badajoz - Unionistas de Salamanca	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WLTWL
- CD Calahorra
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
14.05.22	Calahorra - Rayo Majadahonda	0:1 ✺
08.05.22	Athletic Bilbao B - Calahorra	1:3 ✺
01.05.22	Calahorra - DUX Internacional de Madrid	1:2 ✺
23.04.22	Celta de Vigo B - Calahorra	2:2 ✺
16.04.22	Calahorra - Valladolid B	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
12.12.21	Calahorra - Unionistas de Salamanca	1:1
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
08.02.20	Unionistas de Salamanca - Calahorra	2:2
22.09.19	Calahorra - Unionistas de Salamanca	1:1

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