Match Info

Superettan - Round 23

Date: 9 September 2026, Wednesday

Location: Sodertalje Fotbollsarena (Södertälje)

Referee: Svraka J. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	TV4 Play
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	United Nordic		Värnamo

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.60	3.30
	2.02	3.50	3.05
	2.01	3.98	3.54
	2.08	3.68	3.21	Watch
	1.94	3.90	3.45
	1.94	3.67	3.57	Watch
	1.94	3.55	3.30
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↓ (2.13)	3.7 ↑ (3.5)	3.35 ↑ (2.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

United Nordic
47%

Draw
25.2%

Värnamo
27.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43%

26.2%

30.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.3%

26.4%

30.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

United Nordic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Värnamo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for United Nordic than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Värnamo than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	16.7%	16.7%

United Nordic - Värnamo Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. United Nordic will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Värnamo will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. United Nordic (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.75 - under (1.93) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - United Nordic (1.32) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.25 - United Nordic (1.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (1.55) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (1.60) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. United Nordic (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Dzevlan A. (G) 16. Daneyl N. 3. Fazal M. 77. Gursac J. (C) 24. Johansson T. 21. Swedi E. 8. Gronborg T. 5. Andersson E. 10. Durmaz E. 20. Harabi A. 9. Shhab S.	1. Keto H. (G) 18. Motaraghebjafarpour A. 2. Rapp J. 16. Ravik Z. 3. Bjornstrom A. 8. Andersson H. 26. Johansson C. 10. Claesson V. (C) 11. Ljungberg A. 14. Antonsson M. 9. Meriluoto K.
Substitutes
4. Abadid L. 74. Aphrem C. 12. Davis S. 7. Eminovic A. 30. Eskelinen W. (G) 11. Fisic A. 18. Lindgren A. 25. Nesvik-Andersson L.	33. Akinfenwa M. 17. Bozicevic F. 15. Coulibaly S. 19. Freij E. 13. Jansson S. 7. Johansson C. 24. Kamara M. 4. Ohlsson S. 39. Selin L. (G)
Coaches
Younan S.	Bergstrand K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
25', 0 - 1, Antonsson M. ⚽, Andersson H. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 3)
55', 0 - 2, Meriluoto K. ⚽, Motaraghebjafarpour A. (A),
58', Andersson H. ↓, Freij E. ↑,
63', 1 - 2, Gronborg T. ⚽, Andersson E. (A),
70', 1 - 3, Ljungberg A. ⚽, Motaraghebjafarpour A. (A),
71', 🟨,
72', Ljungberg A. ↓, Johansson C. ↑,
72', Meriluoto K. ↓, Jansson S. ↑,
79', Jansson S. 🟨,
80', Johansson T. ↓, Eminovic A. ↑,
80', Durmaz E. ↓, Fisic A. ↑,
80', Fazal M. ↓, Aphrem C. ↑,
85', 2 - 3, Shhab S. ⚽, Harabi A. (A),
88', 2 - 4, Antonsson M. ⚽, Claesson V. (A),
90', Shhab S. 🟨,
90+1', Johansson C. ↓, Kamara M. ↑,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 5 and 12).

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

Värnamo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

United Nordic will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, United Nordic won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Nordic United	25	9	9	7	38:40	-2	36
11	Varnamo	25	8	5	12	33:45	-12	29

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- United Nordic IK
Swedish Superettan
04.09.26	Öster - United Nordic	1:2 ✺
29.08.26	United Nordic - Norrköping	1:3 ✺
Svenska Cupen
26.08.26	Bollstanäs - United Nordic	0:2 ✺
Swedish Superettan
23.08.26	Brage - United Nordic	1:2 ✺
15.08.26	United Nordic - Varbergs BoIS	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WLWWT
- IFK Värnamo
Swedish Superettan
05.09.26	Värnamo - Varbergs BoIS	1:1 ✺
29.08.26	Ljungskile - Värnamo	0:1 ✺
24.08.26	Värnamo - Landskrona	1:1 ✺
Svenska Cupen
19.08.26	Växjö Norra - Värnamo	1:3 ✺
Swedish Superettan
16.08.26	Värnamo - Östersund	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 TWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Superettan
31.05.26	Värnamo - United Nordic	0:2

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