Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP D - ROUND 25

Date: 5 February 2023, Sunday


	Bagnolese		AC Carpi

	1	X	2
	3	3.1	2.1
	3.15	3.15	2.1
	2.87	3.18	2.23
	2.9	3.25	2.2
	3.16	3.28	2.09
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.02 ↑ (3.01)	3.19 ↑ (3.15)	2.14 (2.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 10%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bagnolese
29.8%

Draw
28.2%

AC Carpi
42%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.7%

28.4%

41.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.7%

30.5%

44.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bagnolese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

AC Carpi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bagnolese than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AC Carpi than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Bagnolese - AC Carpi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Serie D ~ Group D (Play Out) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group D (Play Offs)).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Bagnolese could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Carpi will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Bagnolese won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- GS Bagnolese
Italian Serie D - Group D
29.01.23	Salsomaggiore - Bagnolese	0:2 ✺
25.01.23	Bagnolese - Mezzolara	2:0 ✺
21.01.23	Sammaurese - Bagnolese	0:2 ✺
15.01.23	Bagnolese - Prato	2:3 ✺
08.01.23	SantAngelo - Bagnolese	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.8 WWWLL
- AC Carpi
Italian Serie D - Group D
29.01.23	AC Carpi - Sammaurese	2:3 ✺
25.01.23	AC Carpi - Prato	2:2 ✺
22.01.23	SantAngelo - AC Carpi	3:3 ✺
15.01.23	AC Carpi - Salsomaggiore	2:0 ✺
08.01.23	Mezzolara - AC Carpi	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LTTWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group D
02.10.22	AC Carpi - Bagnolese	3:0

Bagnolese - AC Carpi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide