Match Info

ITALY: Serie D - Group F - Round 33

Date: 28 April 2024, Sunday


	United Riccione		Vigor Senigallia

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.25	2.45
	2.33	3.34	2.65
	2.33	3.34	2.65
	2.88	3.25	2.2
	2.25	3.3	2.86
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.45 ↓ (3.06)	3.3 ↑ (3.14)	2.56 ↑ (2.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

United Riccione
37.1%

Draw
27.5%

Vigor Senigallia
35.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.8%

29.1%

41.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29%

28.3%

42.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

United Riccione has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in United Riccione's performance.

Vigor Senigallia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vigor Senigallia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for United Riccione than the current prediction. (-8.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with United Riccione that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vigor Senigallia than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vigor Senigallia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

United Riccione - Vigor Senigallia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
15', 0 - 1, Kerjota S. ⚽,
32', 1 - 1, Diodato S. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
89', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 14 in the zone Serie D ~ Group F (Play Out: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group F (Play Offs: )).

United Riccione is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Vigor Senigallia is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

United Riccione could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches United Riccione won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- United Riccione
Italian Serie D - Group F
14.04.24	United Riccione - Matese	2:0 ✺
07.04.24	Campobasso - United Riccione	3:1 ✺
28.03.24	United Riccione - Termoli	0:1 ✺
24.03.24	Chieti - United Riccione	2:0 ✺
17.03.24	United Riccione - Real Monterotondo	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 WLLLL
- FC Vigor Senigallia
Italian Serie D - Group F
21.04.24	Vigor Senigallia - Polisportiva Vastogirardi	0:2 ✺
28.03.24	Sora - Vigor Senigallia	0:1 ✺
24.03.24	Vigor Senigallia - Fano	5:1 ✺
17.03.24	Roma City - Vigor Senigallia	1:1 ✺
10.03.24	Vigor Senigallia - Tivoli Calcio	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group F
17.12.23	Vigor Senigallia - United Riccione	2:1

United Riccione - Vigor Senigallia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide