The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Vigor Senigallia 65%
Draw 22%
Polisportiva Vastogirardi 13.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
64.1%
22.6%
13.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
67.6%
21.4%
12.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vigor Senigallia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
Polisportiva Vastogirardi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vigor Senigallia than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Polisportiva Vastogirardi than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
11', 0 - 1, Galluzzi E. (Own goal),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
82', 0 - 2, Lisi V. ⚽,
Preview
One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group F (Play Offs: ) and 17 in the zone Relegation).
Vigor Senigallia is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Recent matches Vastogirardi is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Vigor Senigallia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Vigor Senigallia is indisputable favorite.
Last 3 head-to-head matches Vigor Senigallia won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.
Including matches at home between the teams Vigor Senigallia won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.
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