Match Info

FA Trophy - 1/64-finals

Date: 15 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Broadhurst Park (Manchester)


	United of Manchester		Darlington

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.45	2.62
	2.36	3.56	2.7
	2.29	3.4	2.64
	2.9	3.5	2.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.49 ↓ (2.86)	3.48 ↓ (3.73)	2.51 ↑ (1.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

United of Manchester
37%

Draw
26.4%

Darlington
36.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.2%

23.9%

44.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.7%

23.5%

45.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

United of Manchester has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in United of Manchester's performance.

Darlington has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Darlington might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for United of Manchester than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with United of Manchester that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Darlington than the current prediction. (+9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Darlington could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

United of Manchester - Darlington Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
9', 0 - 1, Rutledge A. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
56', 1 - 1, Grewal R. ⚽,
72', 2 - 1, Weston A. ⚽,
83', 2 - 2, Howells M. ⚽,
90+11', 3 - 2, Donohue M. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, United of Manchester won 0.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Darlington may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Darlington could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, United of Manchester won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 6:16. (average 1:2.7).

Including home matches between the teams, United of Manchester won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 1.3:2.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC United of Manchester
English NPL Premier Division
11.11.25	Warrington Town - United of Manchester	3:0 ✺
08.11.25	United of Manchester - Warrington Rylands	0:1 ✺
01.11.25	Bamber Bridge - United of Manchester	0:2 ✺
English FA Trophy
25.10.25	United of Manchester - Bamber Bridge	1:0 ✺
English NPL Premier Division
21.10.25	United of Manchester - Rushall Olympic	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LLWWW
- Darlington FC
English National League North
08.11.25	Kidderminster Harriers - Darlington	1:2 ✺
04.11.25	Darlington - Worksop Town	5:1 ✺
01.11.25	Merthyr Town - Darlington	3:1 ✺
25.10.25	Darlington - Southport	2:0 ✺
21.10.25	Radcliffe - Darlington	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
06.04.19	Darlington - United of Manchester	2:0
13.10.18	United of Manchester - Darlington	1:2
14.04.18	United of Manchester - Darlington	1:2
13.09.17	Darlington - United of Manchester	3:0
17.04.17	Darlington - United of Manchester	4:2
29.08.16	United of Manchester - Darlington	2:3

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