Match Info

National League North - Round 17

Date: 8 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Aggborough Stadium (Kidderminster)


	Kidderminster Harriers		Darlington

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.8	5
	1.55	4.05	5.15
	1.57	4.02	5.5
	1.45	4.60	5.93	Watch
	1.53	3.94	5.21
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↑ (1.45)	4.08 ↓ (4.6)	5.36 ↓ (5.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kidderminster Harriers
60.2%

Draw
22.6%

Darlington
17.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.1%

20.2%

15.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.5%

19.5%

15.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kidderminster Harriers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Darlington has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kidderminster Harriers than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kidderminster Harriers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Darlington than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Kidderminster Harriers - Darlington Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
45+2', 0 - 1, Rutledge A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
53', 1 - 1, Reynolds R. ⚽,
90+2', 1 - 2, Cornish M. ⚽,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kidderminster won 2.

Kidderminster is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Darlington's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Kidderminster is the undeniable favorite.

We predict that Kidderminster will win today's game, with odds of 1.46.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Kidderminster won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 21:18. (average 1.4:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Kidderminster won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:10. (average 1.9:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kidderminster Harriers
English National League North
04.11.25	Kidderminster Harriers - Bedford Town	2:1 ✺
01.11.25	Alfreton Town - Kidderminster Harriers	1:1 ✺
25.10.25	Kidderminster Harriers - Spennymoor Town	1:0 ✺
21.10.25	Merthyr Town - Kidderminster Harriers	0:1 ✺
18.10.25	Chester - Kidderminster Harriers	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WTWWT
- Darlington FC
English National League North
04.11.25	Darlington - Worksop Town	5:1 ✺
01.11.25	Merthyr Town - Darlington	3:1 ✺
25.10.25	Darlington - Southport	2:0 ✺
21.10.25	Radcliffe - Darlington	3:1 ✺
18.10.25	Leamington - Darlington	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
21.01.25	Kidderminster Harriers - Darlington	0:1
10.08.24	Darlington - Kidderminster Harriers	1:2
25.02.23	Darlington - Kidderminster Harriers	0:0
05.11.22	Kidderminster Harriers - Darlington	1:2
07.05.22	Kidderminster Harriers - Darlington	1:0
15.01.22	Darlington - Kidderminster Harriers	0:1
10.10.20	Darlington - Kidderminster Harriers	1:3

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