Match Info

ENGLAND: NPL PREMIER DIVISION - ROUND 21

Date: 30 January 2024, Tuesday

Location: Broadhurst Park (Manchester)


	United of Manchester		Marine

	1	X	2
	2.8	3.4	2.1
	2.8	3.6	2.15
	2.74	3.34	2.18
	2.82	3.8	2.17
	2.75	3.5	2.1
	2.84	3.55	2.16
	2.8	3.6	2.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.79 ↑ (2.34)	3.54 ↓ (3.58)	2.14 ↓ (2.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

United of Manchester
32.4%

Draw
25.5%

Marine
42.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.8%

25.3%

35.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.9%

26%

34.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

United of Manchester has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that United of Manchester's form might have worsened.

Marine has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Marine's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for United of Manchester than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for United of Manchester, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marine than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Marine, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

United of Manchester - Marine Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. United of Manchester will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Marine will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 14 and 7).

Last 5 head-to-head matches United of Manchester won 0.

Recent matches United of Manchester is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Marine is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Marine could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Marine have a series of home games.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 9 head-to-head matches United of Manchester won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 11-16.

Including matches at home between the teams United of Manchester won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC United of Manchester
English NPL Premier Division
27.01.24	Matlock Town - United of Manchester	3:0 ✺
13.01.24	Bradford Park Avenue - United of Manchester	2:4 ✺
06.01.24	Ilkeston - United of Manchester	2:0 ✺
26.12.23	Ashton United - United of Manchester	1:2 ✺
23.12.23	United of Manchester - Stafford Rangers	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 LWLWW
- Marine FC
English NPL Premier Division
27.01.24	Marine - Worksop Town	2:1 ✺
20.01.24	Bamber Bridge - Marine	1:7 ✺
15.01.24	Bradford Park Avenue - Marine	1:3 ✺
13.01.24	Marine - Stafford Rangers	4:0 ✺
06.01.24	Marine - Hyde United	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
15.08.23	Marine - United of Manchester	5:1
18.03.23	Marine - United of Manchester	3:0
01.10.22	United of Manchester - Marine	1:1
Club Friendly
02.09.20	Marine - United of Manchester	4:1
English FA Trophy
25.11.17	Marine - United of Manchester	1:0
English NPL Premier Division
14.02.15	United of Manchester - Marine	5:2
06.09.14	Marine - United of Manchester	0:0

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