Match Info
NPL Premier Division - Round 42Date: 25 April 2026, Saturday
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Ilkeston |
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United of Manchester |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.25 |
3.2 |
2.82 |
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 |
2.26 |
3.24 |
2.77 |
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 |
2.31 |
3.5 |
2.85 |
 Watch |
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2.38 |
2.9 |
2.75 |
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2.29 |
3.16 |
2.87 |
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2.6 |
3.5 |
2.3 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.35 ↓
(2.57) |
3.25 ↓
(3.4) |
2.73 ↑
(2.39) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
- The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Ilkeston
38.7% | Draw
28% | United of Manchester
33.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ilkeston has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)United of Manchester has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ilkeston than the current prediction. (-2.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for United of Manchester than the current prediction. (+3.6%)Ilkeston - United of Manchester Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 34', 0 - 1, Le Fondre A. (Penalty Awarded),
- 44', 1 - 1, Carter C. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 67', 2 - 1, Kirby-Moore H. ⚽,
- 69', 3 - 1, Kirby-Moore H. ⚽,
- 80', 3 - 2, Sithole G. ⚽,
Preview
Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 12 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Premier Division (Play Offs: )).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ilkeston won 1.Both teams have been playing unpredictably.Ilkeston may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Ilkeston won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:16. (average 1.4:1.6).Including home matches between the teams, Ilkeston won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:5. (average 2.3:1.3).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 21 | Ilkeston | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 7:26 | -19 | 7 |
| 22 | FC United | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 12:20 | -8 | 5 |
Last Results with these Odds
Ilkeston - the odds 2.57 are the expected chance of winning is 35.28%, but this team recently wins 23% of matches with these odds.
United of Manchester - the odds 2.39 are the expected chance of winning is 38.04%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| English NPL Premier Division | | | 29.11.25 | United of Manchester - Ilkeston | 2:1 | | 12.04.25 | Ilkeston - United of Manchester | 1:1 | | 17.08.24 | United of Manchester - Ilkeston | 1:1 | | 06.01.24 | Ilkeston - United of Manchester | 2:0 | | 22.08.23 | United of Manchester - Ilkeston | 1:0 | | 10.03.15 | United of Manchester - Ilkeston | 2:2 | | 18.10.14 | Ilkeston - United of Manchester | 3:1 |
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Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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