Match Info

ENGLAND: NPL PREMIER DIVISION - ROUND 23

Date: 23 December 2023, Saturday

Location: Broadhurst Park (Manchester)


	United of Manchester		Stafford Rangers

	1	X	2
	1.38	4.75	5.75
	1.38	4.75	6
	1.38	5.26	6.06
	1.38	5.26	6.06
	1.4	5	5.5
	1.36	4.75	6.35
	1.38	4.75	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↓ (1.39)	4.93 ↑ (4.83)	5.96 ↑ (5.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

United of Manchester
66.2%

Draw
18.5%

Stafford Rangers
15.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.5%

18.9%

15.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.8%

17.7%

14.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

United of Manchester has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Stafford Rangers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for United of Manchester than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stafford Rangers than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

United of Manchester - Stafford Rangers Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 16 and 21 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches United of Manchester won 1.

Recent matches United of Manchester is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Stafford is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Stafford could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match United of Manchester is indisputable favorite.

Last 11 head-to-head matches United of Manchester won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 14-12.

Including matches at home between the teams United of Manchester won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC United of Manchester
English NPL Premier Division
16.12.23	Worksop Town - United of Manchester	4:0 ✺
02.12.23	Gainsborough Trinity - United of Manchester	1:3 ✺
25.11.23	United of Manchester - Matlock Town	2:3 ✺
21.11.23	Bamber Bridge - United of Manchester	3:3 ✺
18.11.23	United of Manchester - Guiseley	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LWLTW
- Stafford Rangers
English NPL Premier Division
19.12.23	Whitby Town - Stafford Rangers	1:0 ✺
16.12.23	Stafford Rangers - Lancaster City	2:4 ✺
12.12.23	Ashton United - Stafford Rangers	2:1 ✺
09.12.23	Warrington Rylands - Stafford Rangers	7:2 ✺
28.11.23	Stafford Rangers - Atherton Collieries	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
19.08.23	Stafford Rangers - United of Manchester	3:2
15.04.23	United of Manchester - Stafford Rangers	0:1
26.11.22	Stafford Rangers - United of Manchester	1:0
11.12.21	Stafford Rangers - United of Manchester	0:2
11.09.21	United of Manchester - Stafford Rangers	1:3
17.10.20	United of Manchester - Stafford Rangers	2:1
18.02.20	United of Manchester - Stafford Rangers	2:1

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